AUD/JPY – 4H – BUY
BUY
100%
▲ Bullish 100% (13.99)
▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 2.19 |
| ▲ | CCI OS Exit | indicator | 2.07 |
| ▲ | DI CROSS Cross Up | indicator | 1.68 |
| ▲ | DM CROSS Cross Up | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▲ | CMO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▲ | RSI Midline Cross Up | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▲ | EMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.17 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.13 |
| ▲ | SMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.10 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.06 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.99 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 0.95 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / Sideways
30MDOWNTrend Forming
1HDOWNChoppy / Sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / Sideways
4HUPTrend Forming
8HUPTrend Forming
12HUPSolid Trend
1DUPChoppy / Sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish signal cluster on 4H: multiple oscillator cross-ups and trendline retreat.
- Higher timeframes (4H to daily) are bullish, supporting the upside.
- Key support at 113.009 must hold for the bullish scenario to remain valid.
- Lower timeframes are bearish, so expect potential short-term pullbacks before continuation.
AUD/JPY on the 4H timeframe has triggered a powerful confluence of bullish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Up, multiple oscillator cross-ups (BOP, CCI, CMO, DI, DM, RSI), and an EMA 50 Retreat Up. This cluster of indicators suggests strong buying momentum and a potential shift from the prevailing bearish lower timeframes. The trend alignment across higher timeframes (4H to daily) is bullish, with the 12H showing a solid trend (3/5 strength), supporting the bullish case. Key support is at 113.009, while resistance is not defined yet; the price may target recent highs or the next resistance level.
Traders should watch for price to hold above the support level and continue higher. The bullish signals are reinforced by the fact that the 4H is the signal timeframe and aligns with higher timeframes. However, lower timeframes (15m to 2H) are still bearish, indicating potential short-term pullbacks. The invalidation level is below 113.009; a break below would negate the bullish setup.
Traders should watch for price to hold above the support level and continue higher. The bullish signals are reinforced by the fact that the 4H is the signal timeframe and aligns with higher timeframes. However, lower timeframes (15m to 2H) are still bearish, indicating potential short-term pullbacks. The invalidation level is below 113.009; a break below would negate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of 10+ bullish signals on the 4H timeframe.
- ▲ Bullish alignment across 4H, 8H, 12H, and daily timeframes.
- ▲ Holding above support at 113.009, which acts as a floor for the move.
- ▲ Strong trend score on 12H (3/5) indicates solid momentum.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Lower timeframes (15m to 2H) are bearish, which could lead to a temporary reversal or consolidation.
- ▼ If price breaks below 113.009 support, the bullish setup is invalidated.
- ▼ Nearby resistance levels are undefined; price may face selling pressure at prior highs.
- ▼ The 4H signal is strong but could be a false breakout if momentum fades quickly.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
4H
Direction
BUY
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-07-28 16:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 113.00900 | 2026-07-20 |
| S2 | 112.18000 | 2026-07-10 |
| S3 | 111.14800 | 2026-07-02 |