AUD/JPY 4H SELL

· 12 hours ago
SELL
91%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Swing
Prognose: 56% historisch
▲ Bullish 9% (1.64) ▼ Bearish 91% (15.96)
AUD/JPY  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.95
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.94
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.93
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.91
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.90
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.88
BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.64
HT SINE Cross Down indicator 1.53
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.00
Hanging Man candlestick 0.96
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 0.75
Bearish Harami candlestick 0.72

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / Sideways
30M
DOWNTrend Forming
1H
DOWNTrend Forming
2H
DOWNTrend Forming
4H
DOWNTrend Forming
8H
UPTrend Forming
12H
UPSolid Trend
1D
UPChoppy / Sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal cluster on 4H suggests short-term downside momentum.
  • Multiple moving average retreats and BOP zero cross confirm selling pressure.
  • Key support at 113.009 is the immediate downside target; a break below opens further downside.
  • Higher timeframe bullish trends (8H, 12H) caution that this may be a pullback, not a reversal.
AUD/JPY on the 4H timeframe has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, MA, MAMA Price, Midpoint), and a BBANDS Lower Retreat Up. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure and a potential shift from the prior bullish trend on higher timeframes. The signals align across the 15m to 4H timeframes, all showing bearish bias with trend forming (strength 2/5), suggesting momentum is building to the downside. The nearest support at 113.009 is a key level to watch; a break below could accelerate the move. However, higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, creating a tug-of-war. The bearish signals on lower timeframes may represent a correction within the larger uptrend, so traders should monitor price action around support for confirmation.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of 10+ bearish signals (BOP, moving averages, BBANDS) on 4H.
  • Bearish alignment across 15m to 4H timeframes, all trending lower.
  • Strong signal probability (90%) and very strong strength rating.
  • Price retreating from resistance levels, indicating rejection of higher prices.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, potentially limiting downside.
  • Support at 113.009 may hold, causing a bounce or reversal.
  • Choppy/sideways bias on 15m and 1D suggests lack of strong momentum.
  • If price fails to break support, the bearish signal could fade quickly.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Probability 91%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-07-28 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 113.00900 2026-07-20
S2 112.18000 2026-07-10
S3 111.14800 2026-07-02

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