AUD/USD 2H SELL

· 12 hours ago
SELL
94%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +43%
▲ Bullish 6% (2.11) ▼ Bearish 94% (35.66)
AUD/USD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
CCI OS Exit indicator 2.29
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.07
BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.90
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) fibonacci 1.71
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.70
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.67
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.56
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.52
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.48
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.46
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.44
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.18
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.16
Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.98

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / Sideways
30M
UPTrend Forming
1H
UPTrend Forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / Sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / Sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / Sideways
12H
UPTrend Forming
1D
UPChoppy / Sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish signal cluster on 2H: trendline break, moving average retreats, and BOP/CCI confirmation.
  • Immediate support at 0.69605; a break below targets further downside.
  • Higher timeframes (1H, daily) still bullish, suggesting this may be a pullback within an uptrend.
  • Key invalidation level: sustained move above 0.70108 (broken trendline resistance).
The AUD/USD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a trendline break down and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA), confirming a loss of upside momentum. The BOP (Balance of Power) zero cross down and CCI exiting oversold territory to the downside reinforce selling pressure, while BBANDS lower band retreat suggests volatility contraction after a failed push lower. The confluence of trendline, indicator, and candlestick patterns points to a short-term bearish bias, with the nearest support at 0.69605 as the immediate target. However, the broader timeframe picture is mixed: the 1H and 30M are still bullish, and the daily is bullish/choppy, indicating that this 2H sell signal may be a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend. The 4H and 8H are bearish but choppy, lacking strong trend scores. Traders should watch for a breakdown below 0.69605 to confirm bearish continuation, or a failure to hold below the broken trendline (now resistance) near 0.70108, which could invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • Multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) align on the 2H, confirming bearish momentum.
  • Trendline break down and BOP zero cross down provide strong directional confluence.
  • CCI exiting oversold territory to the downside indicates renewed selling pressure.
  • Signal probability at 89% with very strong strength rating.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframe bullish trends (1H, daily) may limit downside and cause a reversal.
  • Choppy/sideways trends on 4H and 8H suggest lack of strong bearish conviction.
  • Nearest support at 0.69605 is a potential bounce zone; failure to break could lead to short squeeze.
  • Fading momentum if price holds above the broken trendline (0.70108) for an extended period.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 94%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-07-28 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70108 2026-07-27
R2 0.70207 2026-07-23
R3 0.70264 2026-07-21
S1 0.69605 2026-07-24
S2 0.69123 2026-07-14
S3 0.69061 2026-07-08

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