USD/JPY – 2H – SELL

2026-07-28 04:00 UTC · 12 hours ago

SELL

90%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 10% (1.80) ▼ Bearish 90% (16.40)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (100%)	fibonacci	2.23
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	2.09
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.80
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.72
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.71
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.51
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▲	AROON Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▲	AROONOSC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.35
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.11
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.69

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / Sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / Sideways

UPTrend Forming

UPChoppy / Sideways

12H

UPTrend Forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, WILLR) suggest exhaustion of bullish momentum.
Bearish momentum confirmed by BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down.
Higher timeframes remain bullish, indicating this may be a correction rather than a reversal.
Watch for a break below support at 162.201 to confirm bearish continuation.

The USD/JPY 2H signal has fired multiple bearish indicators, including AROON Cross Up (which actually suggests bullish momentum, but the overall signal is bearish due to other indicators), AROON Strong Uptrend, AROONOSC Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, and DEMA Retreat Down. These collectively indicate a potential shift from overbought conditions to bearish momentum. However, the trend across higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remains bullish, suggesting that this sell signal may be a pullback within a larger uptrend. Key levels to watch are resistance at 163.984 and support at 162.201.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of overbought exit signals (CCI OB Exit, WILLR OB Exit) with bearish crossovers (STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down).
▼ Bearish alignment on lower timeframes (15m to 2H) supports immediate downside.
▼ Multiple indicator groups (indicator, candlestick) firing bearish signals adds conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bullish and trend forming, which may limit downside.
▲ The AROON Cross Up and AROON Strong Uptrend signals conflict with the bearish bias.
▲ Price is near resistance at 163.984; a break above could invalidate the sell signal.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on lower timeframes reduce trend reliability.