AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

2026-07-28 22:00 UTC · 13 hours ago

SELL

94%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 6% (4.01) ▼ Bearish 94% (60.79)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Retreat Down	trendline	2.64
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	2.21
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%)	fibonacci	1.81
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▼	ADX Trend Weak	indicator	1.37
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.35
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.34
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	1.01
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / Sideways

30M

DOWNTrend Forming

DOWNChoppy / Sideways

UPTrend Forming

12H

UPSolid Trend

UPChoppy / Sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals fired on 1H, indicating strong selling pressure near resistance.
Short-term trend is bearish, but higher timeframes (4H-12H) remain bullish, creating a conflict.
Key levels: resistance at 114.558, support at 114.012. A break below support confirms bearish move.
The sell signal is high probability (96%) but may be a pullback within a larger uptrend.

AUD/JPY on the 1H timeframe has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Trendline Retreat Down, ADX Trend Weak, BOP Zero Cross Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, and Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%), plus three additional signals. This confluence across candlestick, support/resistance, trendline, Fibonacci, and indicator groups indicates strong selling pressure near resistance. The short-term trend is bearish on 15m, 30m, and 1H, though the 1H is choppy/sideways, suggesting the move may be counter-trend against the higher timeframe bullish structure (4H to 12H). The nearest resistance at 114.558 is a key level; a break below the nearest support at 114.012 would confirm bearish momentum, but the higher timeframe uptrend could limit downside.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 10+ signals from multiple groups (candlestick, SR, trendline, Fibonacci, indicator).
▼ Bearish trend on 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes aligning with the signal.
▼ ADX Trend Weak indicator suggests trend strength is low, which can allow reversals.
▼ Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend with 79% retracement level provides a technical target.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H-12H) are bullish, which could limit downside and cause a reversal.
▲ The 1H trend is choppy/sideways, indicating uncertainty and potential false breakout.
▲ Nearest support at 114.012 is close; a failure to break below could trap sellers.
▲ Strong trend scores on higher timeframes suggest the larger trend is still up.