AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL
SELL
92%
▲ Bullish 8% (4.51)
▼ Bearish 92% (53.77)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Double Top | chart_pattern | 3.38 |
| ▼ | Symmetrical Triangle | chart_pattern | 3.01 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.50 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.34 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.99 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.97 |
| ▲ | CCI OS Exit | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.68 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▲ | RSI OS Entry | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▼ | Shooting Star | candlestick | 1.18 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 1.17 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid Trend
30MDOWNVery Strong Trend
1HDOWNSolid Trend
2HDOWNTrend Forming
4HDOWNTrend Forming
8HDOWNTrend Forming
12HUPSolid Trend
1DUPChoppy / Sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence: Trendline break, Double Top, and Symmetrical Triangle breakdown.
- Momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, RSI) all align with the sell signal.
- Lower timeframes (15m-1H) show solid bearish trends; higher timeframes (4H-8H) are bearish but less established.
- Key support at 113.612; a break below could accelerate selling.
A confluence of bearish signals has fired on AUD/JPY at the 1H timeframe, including a Trendline Break Down, Double Top pattern, and Symmetrical Triangle breakdown. Momentum indicators reinforce the sell signal: BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI exiting overbought territory, and RSI entering oversold after a bearish move. The retreat from the lower Bollinger Band and DEMA Retreat Down suggest a failed bounce and resumption of the downtrend. Across lower timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish with solid to very strong trend scores (15m to 1H), while higher timeframes (4H to 8H) are also bearish but trend forming. The daily and 12H timeframes remain bullish, creating a potential conflict. Key resistance sits at 114.340, with immediate support at 113.612. The alignment of multiple patterns and indicators on the 1H and lower timeframes suggests continued downside pressure, but traders should monitor the daily bullish bias for possible reversals.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple chart patterns (Double Top, Symmetrical Triangle) breaking down simultaneously.
- ▼ Trendline break adds technical weight to the bearish case.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend scores across 15m to 1H timeframes.
- ▼ BOP zero cross down indicates selling pressure dominance.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Daily and 12H timeframes remain bullish, which could limit downside or cause a reversal.
- ▲ RSI entering oversold territory suggests a potential bounce or consolidation.
- ▲ Nearby support at 113.612 may act as a temporary floor, leading to a pullback.
- ▲ If price reclaims the broken trendline or triangle, the sell signal could be invalidated.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Probability
92%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-07-29 09:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 114.34000 | 2026-07-28 |
| R2 | 114.55800 | 2026-07-28 |
| R3 | 114.65800 | 2026-07-27 |
| S1 | 113.61200 | 2026-07-21 |
| S2 | 113.00900 | 2026-07-20 |
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