AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

2026-07-29 17:00 UTC · 12 hours ago

SELL

98%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 2% (1.03) ▼ Bearish 98% (45.09)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.11
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.57
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)	fibonacci	1.34
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.20

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple indicators (RSI, Stoch, CMO, BOP, Williams %R) are all pointing bearish on the 30m chart.
Bearish trend is confirmed across timeframes from 30m to 12h, with solid trend scores.
Key support at 113.42400 is the immediate downside target; resistance at 114.33100 is the invalidation level.
Daily timeframe is bullish and choppy, creating a risk of trend reversal at higher timeframes.

Multiple oscillator-based signals (BOP, CMO, RSI, Stoch, Williams %R) have all crossed below their respective midlines or exited overbought territory, confirming a bearish shift in momentum on the 30-minute timeframe. The EMA 200 and SMA 50 are retreating, indicating that the short-term trend is turning down. The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up adds a contrarian note but is outweighed by the overwhelming bearish signals.
The bearish trend is consistent across the 30-minute through 12-hour timeframes, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the 30m, 1h, 2h, and 12h. However, the daily timeframe remains bullish and choppy, which could limit downside potential. Key support lies at 113.42400, while resistance is at 114.33100. The confluence of signals and multi-timeframe bearish alignment suggests a high-probability sell setup, but the daily bullish bias warns of possible reversals.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of oscillator cross-down signals (BOP, CMO, RSI, Stoch, Williams %R) all firing in the same direction.
▼ EMA 200 and SMA 50 retreating, confirming bearish momentum shift.
▼ Bearish trend alignment across multiple timeframes (30m, 1h, 2h, 12h) with solid trend scores (3/5).
▼ Price approaching resistance at 114.33100, providing a clear level for invalidation.

Risk Factors

▲ Daily timeframe is bullish and choppy (1/5), which could act as a counter-trend force and limit downside.
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up is a bullish signal that conflicts with the bearish setup.
▲ If price breaks above resistance at 114.33100, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
▲ Fading momentum on lower timeframes could lead to a false breakout or reversal.