GBP/JPY – 2H – SELL

2026-07-29 06:00 UTC · 1 hour ago

SELL

97%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 3% (2.84) ▼ Bearish 97% (82.07)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Descending Triangle	chart_pattern	3.70
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.71
▼	Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%)	fibonacci	2.70
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.68
▼	Trendline Retreat Down	trendline	2.65
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.59
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.52
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.48
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.34
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	2.16
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	2.03
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.26
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.21

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid Trend

30M

DOWNTrend Forming

DOWNChoppy / Sideways

12H

UPChoppy / Sideways

UPTrend Forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals align on the 2H chart, including a descending triangle breakdown and trendline break.
Intraday timeframes (15m to 4H) are all bearish, but higher timeframes (8H-1D) remain bullish, indicating possible correction.
Key resistance is at 218.51800; support at 216.38900 is the next downside target.
The high signal probability (96%) suggests strong bearish momentum, but caution is warranted due to conflicting daily trend.

GBP/JPY on the 2H timeframe has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, Descending Triangle breakdown, and multiple momentum crossovers (MACD, BOP, STOCHF). The confluence of chart pattern, trendline, and indicator signals points to strong selling pressure. The bearish trend is consistent across intraday timeframes (15m to 4H), all showing bearish bias, though higher timeframes (8H-1D) remain bullish or choppy, suggesting the selloff may be a corrective move within a larger uptrend. Key resistance at 218.51800 is the level to watch for continuation; a break below support at 216.38900 would confirm further downside. The high probability (96%) reflects the strength of the signal cluster, but traders should be aware of potential support from the daily bullish trend.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of chart pattern (Descending Triangle), trendline breaks, and multiple indicator crossovers (MACD, BOP, STOCHF).
▼ Bearish trend alignment across all intraday timeframes (15m to 4H) with solid trend scores.
▼ Strong signal strength (very_strong) with 96% probability, reflecting high conviction from multiple signal groups.
▼ Oversold readings (WILLR) may indicate exhaustion, but the momentum signals confirm the bearish direction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe (1D) is still bullish, suggesting the current selloff could be a pullback within an uptrend.
▲ The 8H timeframe shows choppy/sideways action, which may limit downside momentum.
▲ Nearby support at 216.38900 could act as a floor, especially if the daily trend resumes.
▲ Fading momentum: STOCH KD Cross Up (bullish crossover) conflicts with the bearish signal cluster, indicating potential short-term bounce.