AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY
97%
▲ Bullish 97% (53.12)
▼ Bearish 3% (1.70)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 2.15 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.09 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 2.06 |
| ▲ | Double Top Retreat Up | chart_pattern | 1.98 |
| ▲ | CCI OS Exit | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 1.76 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▲ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.31 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPTrend forming
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bullish signals fired on the 30m chart, indicating strong short-term momentum.
- Price bounced from a trendline and double top retreat, with Fibonacci support at 79% retracement.
- Higher timeframes are mixed – 1h/2h bullish but 4h+ bearish – so the trend is not yet aligned.
- Key levels: resistance 114.110, support 113.448. A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case.
AUD/JPY on the 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Up, Double Top Retreat Up, Bullish Engulfing, and multiple oscillator crossovers (BOP, CCI, Stoch, BBands). This suggests strong short-term buying pressure after a retreat from a double top pattern, with the price bouncing off a trendline and reclaiming the BBands middle band. The confluence of Fibonacci (79% retracement) and chart pattern support adds weight to the bullish case. However, the higher timeframe picture is mixed: the 1h and 2h are bullish but only trend forming (2/5), while the 4h and above remain bearish. The nearest resistance at 114.110 is a key hurdle; a break above could shift the medium-term outlook. Support at 113.448 is the immediate invalidation level.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of trendline retreat, double top retreat, and Fibonacci support at 79%.
- ▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern on the 30m chart.
- ▲ Multiple oscillator crossovers (BOP, CCI, Stoch, BBands) confirming upward momentum.
- ▲ 1h and 2h timeframes are bullish, providing some higher timeframe support.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, daily) remain bearish, creating potential overhead resistance.
- ▼ The 30m and 15m trends are still classified as bearish/choppy, indicating conflicting signals.
- ▼ Nearest resistance at 114.110 is a strong level; failure to break above could lead to a reversal.
- ▼ Fading momentum if the price fails to hold above the BBands middle line or if the Stoch turns down.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
97%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-07-30 08:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 114.11000 | 2026-07-29 |
| R2 | 114.33100 | 2026-07-29 |
| R3 | 114.34000 | 2026-07-28 |
| S1 | 113.44800 | 2026-07-29 |
| S2 | 113.42400 | 2026-07-29 |
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