AUD/JPY 1H SELL

· 16 hours ago
SELL
92%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 8% (2.65) ▼ Bearish 92% (32.20)
AUD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Bear Flag chart_pattern 2.94
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 2.67
TRIMA Retreat Down indicator 2.11
MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.99
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.96
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.78
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.76
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.71
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.67
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.59
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.57
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.44
WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.37
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.17
Closing Marubozu Bearish candlestick 0.59

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on AUD/JPY 1H with multiple indicators aligned.
  • Trend is bearish across most timeframes, supporting continuation.
  • Key support at 110.907 is the main downside target.
  • Watch for a break above 113.950 to invalidate the bearish setup.
The AUD/JPY 1H signal is firmly bearish, with a confluence of technical indicators confirming downside momentum. The Bear Flag pattern suggests a continuation of the prevailing downtrend, while the BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, and STOCH KD Cross Down all point to increasing selling pressure. The WILLR OS Entry indicates oversold conditions, which can precede further downside or a bounce, but in the context of a strong bearish trend, it favors continuation. The BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, and KAMA Retreat Down all confirm that price is retreating from moving averages, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish from 15m up to 12h, with solid trend scores (3/5) on most, including the 1H. The 8h shows a forming trend (2/5), and the 1D is choppy/sideways (1/5), which introduces some uncertainty on the higher timeframe. However, the alignment of multiple timeframes in the bearish direction supports the signal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 113.950, which could act as a pivot if price retraces, and the nearest support at 110.907, which is the primary downside target. A break below support could accelerate selling, while a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • Bear Flag pattern suggests continuation of the downtrend.
  • Multiple indicators (BOP, MACD, STOCH, WILLR) confirm bearish momentum.
  • Consistent bearish trend across 15m to 12h timeframes.
  • Price retreating from moving averages (BBANDS, EMA, KAMA) reinforces selling.
Risk Factors
  • 1D timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could limit downside follow-through.
  • Oversold conditions (WILLR OS Entry) may trigger a short-term bounce.
  • A break above the nearest resistance at 113.950 would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • The 8H trend is only forming, so momentum could stall if higher timeframe support emerges.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Probability 92%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-07-31 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 113.95000 2026-07-30
R2 114.11000 2026-07-29
R3 114.34000 2026-07-28
S1 110.90700 2026-07-30

Tags

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