EUR/JPY – 1H – SELL

2026-07-31 16:00 UTC · 16 hours ago

SELL

96%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +24%

▲ Bullish 4% (1.22) ▼ Bearish 96% (25.73)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Flag	chart_pattern	3.45
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.73
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)	fibonacci	1.91
▼	TRIMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.52
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.49
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.37
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.88

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish continuation signal on EUR/JPY 1H, backed by a Bear Flag and multiple momentum/trend indicators.
Trend is aligned bearish from 15m to 8h, with the 12h forming and the daily still sideways—so the move is strongest in the short term.
Watch the 185.15700 resistance as the invalidation level; the 182.11700 support is the immediate downside target.
The high probability (97%) and very strong strength reflect the confluence of signals, but always manage risk.

The EUR/JPY 1H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Bear Flag pattern and confirmed by momentum oscillators (MACD Signal Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down) and volatility/trend indicators (BBANDS LOWER Break Down, EMA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down). The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure is gaining control, while WILLR OS Entry suggests the move is still early enough to ride. Together, these signals point to a continuation of the prevailing downtrend rather than a reversal.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent and solid from 15m up to 8h (all scoring 3/5), with the 12h showing a forming trend and the daily still choppy. This alignment supports the short-term bearish bias. The nearest resistance at 185.15700 is the key invalidation level; a break above would signal that the bearish setup has failed. The nearest support at 182.11700 is the immediate downside target, and a break below could open the door to further declines.

Catalysts

▼ Bear Flag pattern suggests a continuation of the prior downtrend.
▼ Multiple momentum indicators (MACD, STOCH, WILLR) confirm bearish momentum.
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down and EMA/KAMA Retreat Down indicate price is breaking below key dynamic support.
▼ Trend alignment across 15m to 8h timeframes supports the bearish move.

Risk Factors

▲ The daily timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could limit the depth of the move.
▲ If price breaks above 185.15700, the bearish signal is invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the WILLR oversold condition leads to a bounce.
▲ The 12h trend is only forming, so the higher-timeframe picture is not fully bearish yet.