EUR/JPY – 4H – BUY

2026-07-31 12:00 UTC · 17 hours ago

BUY

74%

▲ BUY

MODERATE

Swing

Prognose: 26% historisch

▲ Bullish 74% (7.46) ▼ Bearish 26% (2.63)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Top	chart_pattern	2.26
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.81
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.75
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	1.50
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.50
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.28
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.23
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)	fibonacci	1.19
▲	Above The Stomach	candlestick	0.95
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish reversal signals fired on the 4H chart, including trendline break, double top, and oscillator exits from oversold.
The broader trend remains bearish across most timeframes, so this is a counter-trend signal with moderate strength.
Watch the key levels: resistance at 187.46700 and support at 183.74900.
A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a break below support would negate the bullish setup.

The 4H EUR/JPY chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, Double Top, BOP Zero Cross Up, and multiple oscillator exits from oversold conditions (CCI, RSI, STOCH, WILLR). These signals suggest that selling pressure is exhausting and a bullish reversal may be underway. The Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) adds confluence, indicating that price has broken above a key retracement level, reinforcing the bullish case.

However, the broader trend across timeframes remains bearish, with solid to very strong bearish trends on the 15m through 8H charts. This creates a conflict: the short-term reversal signals are fighting against the dominant downtrend. The 1D chart is choppy/sideways, offering little directional bias. Key levels to watch are resistance at 187.46700 and support at 183.74900. A sustained move above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a break below support would invalidate the reversal signals.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals: trendline break, double top, and Fibonacci break.
▲ Oscillator exits from oversold conditions (RSI, CCI, STOCH, WILLR) suggest momentum is turning up.
▲ BOP zero cross up indicates buying pressure is increasing.
▲ The 1D chart is choppy, not strongly bearish, allowing room for a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Dominant bearish trend across 15m to 8H timeframes could overpower the reversal attempt.
▼ Resistance at 187.46700 is nearby and may cap upside.
▼ If price breaks below support at 183.74900, the bullish signals would be invalidated.
▼ Momentum may fade if the reversal fails to gain traction, leading to a continuation of the downtrend.