USD/JPY 30M BUY

· 17 hours ago
BUY
100%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 100% (14.94) ▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Double Bottom chart_pattern 3.50
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.66
STOCH OS Exit indicator 1.70
STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.69
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.57
BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.49
Trendline Retreat Up trendline 1.35
Support Level Retreat Up sr 1.33
CCI OS Exit indicator 1.25
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%) fibonacci 1.19
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.16
Bullish Harami Cross candlestick 1.14
Inverted Hammer candlestick 1.12
Long Legged Doji candlestick 0.84

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish reversal signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the overall trend is bearish.
  • Watch the resistance at 160.87200; a break above could extend the move, while a failure may lead to a pullback.
  • The support at 158.54000 is critical; losing it would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • Higher timeframe trends are strongly bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend opportunity with tight risk management.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, Trendline Retreat Up, Double Bottom, and several oscillator exits from oversold conditions (CCI, STOCH, STOCHRSI). These signals suggest a short-term reversal from the recent bearish momentum, with the Double Bottom pattern indicating a potential shift in market structure. The confluence of these signals on the 30-minute timeframe points to an immediate upside bias, with the nearest resistance at 160.87200 acting as the first hurdle. A break above this level could open the door for further gains, while the nearest support at 158.54000 serves as the critical floor for the bullish thesis.

However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with the 1-hour and 2-hour charts showing very strong bearish trends. This creates a conflict between the short-term bullish signals and the longer-term bearish trend. The bullish signals are likely a counter-trend bounce, and traders should be cautious about the sustainability of the move. The key levels to watch are the resistance at 160.87200, which if broken could signal a deeper correction, and the support at 158.54000, which if broken would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.
Catalysts
  • Multiple bullish signals firing simultaneously, including a Double Bottom and trendline breaks, increase the probability of a bounce.
  • Oscillators like CCI, STOCH, and STOCHRSI exiting oversold conditions indicate momentum is turning upward.
  • The proximity of the nearest support at 158.54000 provides a clear level for bullish invalidation, offering a defined risk.
Risk Factors
  • The 1-hour and 2-hour trends are very strongly bearish, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish signals.
  • The bullish signals are on a lower timeframe (30M) and may be a counter-trend bounce that fades quickly.
  • If the price fails to break above the nearest resistance at 160.87200, the bullish momentum could stall and reverse.
  • A break below the nearest support at 158.54000 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely lead to further declines.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-07-31 17:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 160.87200 2026-07-31
R2 163.73600 2026-07-30
R3 163.90400 2026-07-29
S1 158.54000 2026-07-31
S2 157.96900 2026-07-30

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