USD/JPY – 1H – SELL
SELL
77%
▲ Bullish 23% (11.14)
▼ Bearish 77% (37.54)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Bear Flag | chart_pattern | 4.12 |
| ▲ | Double Bottom | chart_pattern | 3.67 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.33 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.32 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.30 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Bottom | candlestick | 1.00 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.93 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 0.87 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNVery strong trend
2HDOWNExtremely strong trend
4HDOWNVery strong trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish alignment across all timeframes, with the 2H showing an extremely strong downtrend.
- Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all crossed below zero, confirming bearish pressure.
- Key resistance at 160.87200 is the level to watch; a break above could invalidate the bearish signal.
- Primary downside target is the support at 155.22400, but always use proper risk management.
The USD/JPY 1H signal is strongly bearish, with a confluence of technical signals including a Double Bottom reversal, Bear Flag continuation, and multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all crossing below zero or signaling downward momentum. The trend across timeframes is uniformly bearish, with the 2H showing an extremely strong trend (5/5) and the 1H and 4H both very strong (4/5), indicating solid alignment. The nearest resistance at 160.87200 is a key level to watch for any pullback, while the nearest support at 155.22400 is the primary downside target.
The confluence of chart patterns and momentum indicators adds weight to the bearish case. The Double Bottom suggests a potential reversal from a bottom, but in this context it may be a bearish continuation pattern, and the Bear Flag indicates a pause in a downtrend that often resolves lower. The consistent bearish trend across all timeframes reinforces the signal's strength. However, traders should monitor the resistance level closely; a break above it could invalidate the bearish setup. The high probability (86%) and very strong strength suggest a high-confidence trade, but risk management remains crucial given the volatility in USD/JPY.
The confluence of chart patterns and momentum indicators adds weight to the bearish case. The Double Bottom suggests a potential reversal from a bottom, but in this context it may be a bearish continuation pattern, and the Bear Flag indicates a pause in a downtrend that often resolves lower. The consistent bearish trend across all timeframes reinforces the signal's strength. However, traders should monitor the resistance level closely; a break above it could invalidate the bearish setup. The high probability (86%) and very strong strength suggest a high-confidence trade, but risk management remains crucial given the volatility in USD/JPY.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes from 15m to 1d, with the 2H extremely strong (5/5).
- ▼ Confluence of chart patterns: Double Bottom and Bear Flag both pointing to further downside.
- ▼ Multiple momentum indicators crossing below zero, signaling sustained bearish momentum.
- ▼ Very strong signal strength (86% probability) and high confidence.
Risk Factors
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 160.87200 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ The Double Bottom pattern could signal a bullish reversal if price fails to break lower, conflicting with the bearish bias.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the 1H trend weakens, as seen in the lower trend scores on shorter timeframes (15m and 30m).
- ▲ Watch for any bullish divergence on momentum indicators that could precede a bounce.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Probability
77%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-03 16:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 160.87200 | 2026-07-31 |
| R2 | 163.73600 | 2026-07-30 |
| R3 | 163.90400 | 2026-07-29 |
| S1 | 155.22400 | 2026-08-03 |
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