USD/JPY 1H SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
77%
▼ SELL
STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 28% historisch
⚡ Confluence +15%
▲ Bullish 23% (11.14) ▼ Bearish 77% (37.54)
USD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Bear Flag chart_pattern 4.12
Double Bottom chart_pattern 3.67
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 2.33
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.60
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.60
SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.50
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.46
CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.32
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.30
Last Engulfing Bottom candlestick 1.00
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.93
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 0.87

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNExtremely strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish alignment across all timeframes, with the 2H showing an extremely strong downtrend.
  • Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all crossed below zero, confirming bearish pressure.
  • Key resistance at 160.87200 is the level to watch; a break above could invalidate the bearish signal.
  • Primary downside target is the support at 155.22400, but always use proper risk management.
The USD/JPY 1H signal is strongly bearish, with a confluence of technical signals including a Double Bottom reversal, Bear Flag continuation, and multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all crossing below zero or signaling downward momentum. The trend across timeframes is uniformly bearish, with the 2H showing an extremely strong trend (5/5) and the 1H and 4H both very strong (4/5), indicating solid alignment. The nearest resistance at 160.87200 is a key level to watch for any pullback, while the nearest support at 155.22400 is the primary downside target.

The confluence of chart patterns and momentum indicators adds weight to the bearish case. The Double Bottom suggests a potential reversal from a bottom, but in this context it may be a bearish continuation pattern, and the Bear Flag indicates a pause in a downtrend that often resolves lower. The consistent bearish trend across all timeframes reinforces the signal's strength. However, traders should monitor the resistance level closely; a break above it could invalidate the bearish setup. The high probability (86%) and very strong strength suggest a high-confidence trade, but risk management remains crucial given the volatility in USD/JPY.
Catalysts
  • Trend alignment across all timeframes from 15m to 1d, with the 2H extremely strong (5/5).
  • Confluence of chart patterns: Double Bottom and Bear Flag both pointing to further downside.
  • Multiple momentum indicators crossing below zero, signaling sustained bearish momentum.
  • Very strong signal strength (86% probability) and high confidence.
Risk Factors
  • A break above the nearest resistance at 160.87200 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • The Double Bottom pattern could signal a bullish reversal if price fails to break lower, conflicting with the bearish bias.
  • Momentum could fade if the 1H trend weakens, as seen in the lower trend scores on shorter timeframes (15m and 30m).
  • Watch for any bullish divergence on momentum indicators that could precede a bounce.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Probability 77%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-08-03 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 160.87200 2026-07-31
R2 163.73600 2026-07-30
R3 163.90400 2026-07-29
S1 155.22400 2026-08-03

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