USD/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY
91%
▲ Bullish 91% (46.53)
▼ Bearish 9% (4.50)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Bear Pennant | chart_pattern | 4.50 |
| ▲ | Falling Wedge | chart_pattern | 2.82 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.51 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.12 |
| ▲ | CCI Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▲ | RSI OS Exit | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.39 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.06 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.00 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNVery strong trend
1HDOWNExtremely strong trend
2HDOWNExtremely strong trend
4HDOWNVery strong trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bullish signals on 30M suggest a short-term bounce within a strong downtrend.
- All timeframes are bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend move, not a reversal.
- Watch resistance at 160.53100; a break could extend the bounce, but failure may lead to resumption of downtrend.
- Support at 155.22400 is critical; losing it invalidates the bullish setup.
The 30-minute USD/JPY chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, Falling Wedge, and Bear Pennant, alongside momentum indicators turning up (BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI Zero Cross Up, RSI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up). These signals suggest a potential short-term bounce within a broader downtrend. However, the trend across all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily remains bearish, with very strong to extremely strong trend scores on the 30-minute through 4-hour charts. This indicates that the bullish signals are likely a counter-trend move, possibly a correction or consolidation, rather than a reversal. The confluence of multiple pattern breakouts and momentum shifts adds weight to the bullish case, but the overwhelming bearish trend on higher timeframes argues for caution.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 160.53100 and support at 155.22400. A break above resistance could signal a stronger retracement, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish setup. Traders should monitor whether the bounce can sustain momentum and whether it can overcome the resistance level, as the higher timeframe trend remains firmly bearish.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 160.53100 and support at 155.22400. A break above resistance could signal a stronger retracement, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish setup. Traders should monitor whether the bounce can sustain momentum and whether it can overcome the resistance level, as the higher timeframe trend remains firmly bearish.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals: Trendline Break Up, Falling Wedge, and Bear Pennant.
- ▲ Momentum indicators turning up (BOP, CCI, RSI, STOCH) suggest increasing buying pressure.
- ▲ Potential for a short squeeze given the extremely strong bearish trend on higher timeframes.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Dominant bearish trend across all timeframes argues against sustained upside.
- ▼ Resistance at 160.53100 is nearby and could cap gains.
- ▼ If price breaks below support at 155.22400, the bullish signals are invalidated.
- ▼ Counter-trend moves in strong downtrends often fail quickly; watch for fading momentum.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
91%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-03 09:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 160.53100 | 2026-07-31 |
| R2 | 160.87200 | 2026-07-31 |
| R3 | 163.73600 | 2026-07-30 |
| S1 | 155.22400 | 2026-08-03 |
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