USD/JPY 30M SELL

· 14 hours ago
SELL
83%
▼ SELL
STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 46% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 17% (7.32) ▼ Bearish 83% (36.64)
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Falling Wedge chart_pattern 2.82
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.50
Bear Flag chart_pattern 2.12
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 2.12
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.09
TRIMA Retreat Down indicator 1.80
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.77
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.33
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.31
Last Engulfing Top candlestick 1.30
Last Engulfing Bottom candlestick 1.29
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.28
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.00
WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.65

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNExtremely strong trend
2H
DOWNExtremely strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish alignment across all timeframes, with the strongest trends on the 1H and 2H charts.
  • Multiple bearish signals fired, including a Bear Flag and Falling Wedge, pointing to continued downside.
  • Watch for a move toward support at 155.22400; resistance at 160.53100 is the key invalidation level.
  • Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) confirm the bearish pressure.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, Falling Wedge, Bear Flag, and multiple momentum indicators (BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Entry, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down). These signals align across all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily, with the strongest bearish trends on the 1-hour and 2-hour charts (5/5). The confluence of a bear flag and falling wedge suggests a continuation of the prevailing downtrend, while the break of the middle Bollinger Band and the EMA retreat indicate accelerating downside momentum.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 160.53100 and support at 155.22400. The price is likely to test the support level if the bearish momentum persists. However, traders should be cautious of a potential bounce near support, as the 4-hour and daily trends, though bearish, are only moderately strong (4/5 and 3/5). The overall alignment across multiple timeframes and the high signal probability (84%) support the bearish outlook, but a close above the resistance level would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • Trend alignment across all timeframes, with very strong bearish trends on the 1H and 2H charts.
  • Confluence of bearish chart patterns (Bear Flag, Falling Wedge) and trendline break.
  • Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, BBANDS) all signaling downside.
  • High signal probability (84%) and strong strength.
Risk Factors
  • A bullish reversal could occur if price breaks above the resistance at 160.53100, invalidating the bearish setup.
  • The 4H and daily trends are only moderately strong (4/5 and 3/5), which may limit downside momentum.
  • Momentum could fade near the support level, leading to a potential bounce or consolidation.
  • The signal is on the 30M timeframe, so it is short-term; higher timeframe trends could shift.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 83%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-08-03 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 160.53100 2026-07-31
R2 160.87200 2026-07-31
R3 163.73600 2026-07-30
S1 155.22400 2026-08-03

Tags

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