USD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
83%
▲ Bullish 17% (7.32)
▼ Bearish 83% (36.64)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Falling Wedge | chart_pattern | 2.82 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.50 |
| ▼ | Bear Flag | chart_pattern | 2.12 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.12 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▼ | TRIMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.31 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Top | candlestick | 1.30 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Bottom | candlestick | 1.29 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.28 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.00 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 0.65 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNVery strong trend
1HDOWNExtremely strong trend
2HDOWNExtremely strong trend
4HDOWNVery strong trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish alignment across all timeframes, with the strongest trends on the 1H and 2H charts.
- Multiple bearish signals fired, including a Bear Flag and Falling Wedge, pointing to continued downside.
- Watch for a move toward support at 155.22400; resistance at 160.53100 is the key invalidation level.
- Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) confirm the bearish pressure.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, Falling Wedge, Bear Flag, and multiple momentum indicators (BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Entry, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down). These signals align across all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily, with the strongest bearish trends on the 1-hour and 2-hour charts (5/5). The confluence of a bear flag and falling wedge suggests a continuation of the prevailing downtrend, while the break of the middle Bollinger Band and the EMA retreat indicate accelerating downside momentum.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 160.53100 and support at 155.22400. The price is likely to test the support level if the bearish momentum persists. However, traders should be cautious of a potential bounce near support, as the 4-hour and daily trends, though bearish, are only moderately strong (4/5 and 3/5). The overall alignment across multiple timeframes and the high signal probability (84%) support the bearish outlook, but a close above the resistance level would invalidate the signal.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 160.53100 and support at 155.22400. The price is likely to test the support level if the bearish momentum persists. However, traders should be cautious of a potential bounce near support, as the 4-hour and daily trends, though bearish, are only moderately strong (4/5 and 3/5). The overall alignment across multiple timeframes and the high signal probability (84%) support the bearish outlook, but a close above the resistance level would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes, with very strong bearish trends on the 1H and 2H charts.
- ▼ Confluence of bearish chart patterns (Bear Flag, Falling Wedge) and trendline break.
- ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, BBANDS) all signaling downside.
- ▼ High signal probability (84%) and strong strength.
Risk Factors
- ▲ A bullish reversal could occur if price breaks above the resistance at 160.53100, invalidating the bearish setup.
- ▲ The 4H and daily trends are only moderately strong (4/5 and 3/5), which may limit downside momentum.
- ▲ Momentum could fade near the support level, leading to a potential bounce or consolidation.
- ▲ The signal is on the 30M timeframe, so it is short-term; higher timeframe trends could shift.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
83%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-03 10:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 160.53100 | 2026-07-31 |
| R2 | 160.87200 | 2026-07-31 |
| R3 | 163.73600 | 2026-07-30 |
| S1 | 155.22400 | 2026-08-03 |