AUD/JPY 30M BUY

· 14 hours ago
BUY
82%
▲ BUY
STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 46% historisch
⚡ Confluence +10%
▲ Bullish 82% (36.29) ▼ Bearish 18% (8.17)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.69
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.69
EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.68
MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.60
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.45
SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.37
MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.34
MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.33
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 2.33
MA Retreat Up indicator 2.31
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.99
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.69
AROON Cross Up indicator 1.61
AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.61
AROON Strong Uptrend indicator 1.54
Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 1.25

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Short-term bullish signals are strong on the 30-minute chart, with multiple indicators aligning (trendline break, AROON, STOCHF).
  • Higher timeframes (2h and above) are bearish, creating a conflict that could limit upside.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 111.02100; a break above would strengthen the bullish case, while a failure could lead to a reversal.
  • The nearest support at 109.23100 is critical; a break below would invalidate the bullish signals.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, AROON Cross Up, and STOCHF KD Cross Up, alongside a BOP Zero Cross Up indicating improving buying pressure. These signals align with the short-term trend, which is bullish on the 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour timeframes, though the 30-minute and 1-hour trends are still forming (2/5 strength). The confluence of multiple indicators on the 30-minute chart suggests a potential upward move, with immediate resistance at 111.02100 and support at 109.23100.

However, the higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are all bearish, with the 4-hour trend being very strong (4/5). This creates a significant divergence: the short-term bullish signals are fighting against a dominant longer-term downtrend. The bullish move may be a counter-trend rally within the larger bearish structure, and its sustainability is questionable. Traders should watch whether the price can break above the nearest resistance at 111.02100, which would confirm the bullish momentum, or if it fails and resumes the downtrend, with the nearest support at 109.23100 as a key invalidation level.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of multiple bullish signals on the 30-minute chart (trendline break, AROON cross, STOCHF cross, BOP zero cross).
  • Short-term trend alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes, all bullish.
  • Momentum indicators (STOCHF, BOP) are turning upward, suggesting increasing buying pressure.
  • The trendline break and AROON strong uptrend indicate a potential shift in short-term momentum.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframe trends (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, with the 4h trend very strong, which could overpower the short-term bullish move.
  • The 30-minute and 1-hour trends are only 'trend forming' (2/5 strength), indicating the bullish trend is not yet solid.
  • A break below the nearest support at 109.23100 would invalidate the bullish signals and could accelerate the downtrend.
  • The short-term bullish move may be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend, risking a quick reversal if resistance holds.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Probability 82%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-08-04 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.02100 2026-08-04
R2 112.98000 2026-07-31
R3 113.95000 2026-07-30
S1 109.23100 2026-08-03

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