EUR/USD – 2H – SELL

2026-08-04 08:00 UTC · 14 hours ago

SELL

95%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +47%

▲ Bullish 5% (1.82) ▼ Bearish 95% (37.30)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Top	chart_pattern	3.19
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.24
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.86
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.82
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.78
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.75
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%)	fibonacci	1.59
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.41

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum on the 2H chart with multiple confirmations, but it's a counter-trend move against higher timeframe bullish bias.
Watch the 1.14548 support: a break below opens the door for further downside, while a hold could lead to a bounce.
Resistance at 1.15585 is the immediate upside barrier if price retraces.
The bearish signal is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend, so manage risk accordingly.

The 2H EUR/USD chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Double Top, with momentum oscillators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, WILLR) all confirming downside pressure. The DEMA Retreat Down adds trend-following confirmation. Together, these signals indicate a strong short-term bearish reversal attempt within a broader bullish structure.

However, the higher timeframes remain predominantly bullish, with the 4H and 12H showing trend formation and the 1D in a solid uptrend. The 2H bearish signal is thus a counter-trend move against the larger bias. The nearest support at 1.14548 is a key level to watch; a break below would strengthen the bearish case, while a bounce could signal a false breakdown. Resistance at 1.15585 caps upside in case of a retracement.

Catalysts

▼ High confluence of bearish signals: Trendline Break Down, Double Top, and multiple momentum crossovers.
▼ Very strong signal strength and 95% probability rating, indicating robust alignment across indicators.
▼ BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, and WILLR all point to bearish momentum, confirming the breakdown.
▼ The 2H timeframe shows a clear bearish trend, even though higher timeframes are bullish, suggesting a short-term shift.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1D, 4H, 12H) remain bullish; the bearish signal may be a pullback, and a resumption of the uptrend could invalidate it.
▲ The nearest support at 1.14548 is nearby; if it holds, the bearish move may stall and reverse.
▲ Momentum could fade quickly if price fails to break below support, leading to a false signal.
▲ The 15m to 1h timeframes are bullish, which could provide a bounce and delay the bearish continuation.