USD/CHF – 1H – SELL
SELL
87%
▲ Bullish 13% (3.91)
▼ Bearish 87% (25.03)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.11 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 2.09 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.48 |
| ▼ | TEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▲ | MOM Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.30 |
| ▲ | ROC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.30 |
| ▲ | ROCR Cross Up | indicator | 1.30 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.17 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.06 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.06 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.00 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on 1H with multiple indicators aligning, but higher timeframes are mixed and choppy.
- Resistance at 0.81150 is the key level to watch; a rejection confirms the sell, a break above invalidates.
- Support at 0.80560 is the immediate downside target; a break could open further downside.
- The 1D trend is solidly bearish, providing longer-term context for the sell signal.
The USD/CHF 1H signal is strongly bearish, with multiple indicators aligning to suggest a downward move. The Trendline Retreat Down and EMA 200 Retreat Down indicate that price has pulled back to a descending trendline and the 200-period EMA, which are now acting as resistance. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down confirm bearish momentum, while the MOM, ROC, and ROCR Zero Cross Ups suggest that downside momentum is building. The confluence of these signals across candlestick, indicator, support/resistance, Fibonacci, and trendline groups increases the reliability of the bearish outlook.
Across higher timeframes, the trend is mixed and choppy, with the 1D showing a solid bearish trend (3/5 strength). This suggests that while the immediate bias is bearish, the lack of clear alignment on the 4H and 8H (both bullish) could limit the move. Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.81150, which aligns with the trendline/EMA, and support at 0.80560. A break below support would confirm the bearish signal, while a move above resistance would invalidate it.
Across higher timeframes, the trend is mixed and choppy, with the 1D showing a solid bearish trend (3/5 strength). This suggests that while the immediate bias is bearish, the lack of clear alignment on the 4H and 8H (both bullish) could limit the move. Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.81150, which aligns with the trendline/EMA, and support at 0.80560. A break below support would confirm the bearish signal, while a move above resistance would invalidate it.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of signals from multiple groups (candlestick, indicator, S/R, Fibonacci, trendline) strengthens the bearish case.
- ▼ Price retreating from the EMA 200 and a descending trendline, both acting as resistance.
- ▼ Momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) turning up from oversold levels suggest a potential downside continuation.
- ▼ The 1D trend is solidly bearish, supporting the sell bias.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are bullish, which could counteract the bearish 1H signal.
- ▲ The choppy, sideways nature across most timeframes indicates low trend strength, making the signal less reliable.
- ▲ A break above the 0.81150 resistance level would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) are showing zero cross ups, which could indicate a short-term bounce before further downside.
Symbol
USD/CHF
Timeframe
1H
Direction
SELL
Probability
87%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-04 07:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.81150 | 2026-08-03 |
| R2 | 0.81288 | 2026-07-31 |
| R3 | 0.81745 | 2026-07-30 |
| S1 | 0.80560 | 2026-08-03 |
| S2 | 0.80390 | 2026-07-30 |
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