USD/JPY 2H SELL

· 14 hours ago
SELL
85%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 40% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 15% (5.24) ▼ Bearish 85% (30.68)
USD/JPY  ·  2H
Loading…
Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Bear Flag chart_pattern 3.84
MA Retreat Down indicator 2.27
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.22
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 2.15
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.97
TRIMA Retreat Down indicator 1.84
HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.71
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
Tweezers Top candlestick 1.20

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence on the 2H chart with multiple indicators and patterns aligning.
  • Higher timeframes (1H and above) are all bearish, reinforcing the sell signal.
  • Watch the nearest support at 155.224; a break below could accelerate the decline.
  • Immediate resistance at 163.904 is the key level to monitor for invalidation.
The USD/JPY 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Bear Flag continuation pattern, a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and multiple moving average retreats (EMA, MA, TRIMA). The higher timeframe trend mode has also shifted to Cycle, and a Fibonacci Break DownTrend at the 0% level adds confluence. This combination indicates strong selling pressure and a high-probability continuation of the downtrend.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is well established from 1H upward, with very strong trend scores on 2H, 4H, and 8H, and solid bearish trends on 12H and 1D. The 15m and 30m are still bullish but choppy, suggesting a possible short-term pullback, but the higher timeframe dominance supports the bearish bias. Key levels to watch: immediate resistance at 163.904, and a major support at 155.224. A break below the support would confirm further downside, while a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • Bear Flag pattern suggests a continuation of the prior downtrend.
  • BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCH KD Cross Down confirm bearish momentum.
  • Moving average retreats (EMA, MA, TRIMA) indicate price is pulling back to resistance.
  • Higher timeframe trend alignment (1H to 1D) strongly supports the bearish move.
Risk Factors
  • A break above the nearest resistance at 163.904 would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • The 15m and 30m are still bullish, which could lead to a short-term bounce.
  • If momentum fades and price consolidates, the signal may lose strength.
  • Watch for any reversal candlestick patterns near support that could signal a bounce.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 85%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-04 06:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 163.90400 2026-07-29
R2 163.94700 2026-07-28
R3 163.98400 2026-07-23
S1 155.22400 2026-08-03

Tags

Similar Signals