AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

2026-08-05 15:00 UTC · 13 hours ago

SELL

92%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 8% (5.65) ▼ Bearish 92% (61.46)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.57
▼	Rising Wedge	chart_pattern	2.45
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.41
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.28
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.28
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)	fibonacci	2.22
▼	Trendline Retreat Down	trendline	2.10
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.98
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.79
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	1.77
▼	Triple Bottom Retreat Down	chart_pattern	1.56
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.53
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	Double Bottom Retreat Down	chart_pattern	1.40
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.24
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.24
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.24
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.03
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.97

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence: multiple trendline breaks, chart patterns, and momentum signals align for a sell.
All timeframes are bearish, with higher timeframes showing solid trend strength.
Watch for a break below 110.84100 to confirm further downside; a move above 111.22100 would weaken the bearish case.
Short-term momentum oscillators hint at a possible bounce, but the trend remains down.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Trendline Retreat Down, Trendline Break Down, Double and Triple Bottom Retreat Down, Rising Wedge, and a BOP Zero Cross Down. This confluence of trendline, chart pattern, and momentum signals points to strong selling pressure at the current level. The bearish alignment across all timeframes, from 15-minute up to daily, reinforces the downward bias, with the higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h) showing solid trend scores of 3/5, indicating a well-established downtrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.22100 and support at 110.84100. A break below support would likely accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The MOM and ROC Zero Cross Up signals suggest a short-term bounce may occur, but the overall trend remains bearish. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Bearish alignment across all timeframes, with 4h, 8h, and 12h showing solid trend scores.
▼ Multiple chart patterns (Rising Wedge, Double/Triple Bottom Retreat Down) indicate continuation of downtrend.
▼ Trendline breaks and BOP zero cross down confirm selling pressure.
▼ High probability (92%) and very strong signal strength suggest high conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ Short-term MOM and ROC zero cross up signals could trigger a corrective bounce, delaying the move.
▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are choppy/sideways, which may cause false breakouts.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 111.22100 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ If support at 110.84100 holds, the pair may consolidate before continuing lower.