EUR/JPY – 4H – BUY

2026-08-05 04:00 UTC · 13 hours ago

BUY

91%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Swing

Prognose: 56% historisch

⚡ Confluence +36%

▲ Bullish 91% (25.79) ▼ Bearish 9% (2.47)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Flag	chart_pattern	2.97
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.57
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.42
▲	Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%)	fibonacci	2.21
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.89
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.43
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.29
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.72

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish signals fired on the 4H chart, but the higher timeframes are bearish, so this may be a counter-trend bounce.
Watch the nearest resistance at 187.46700; a break above could confirm bullish momentum, while a drop below support at 179.36400 would invalidate the setup.
The Bear Flag pattern typically suggests continuation of the downtrend, so the bullish signals may be short-lived unless resistance is broken.
The signal has a 74% probability with moderate strength, indicating a decent but not overwhelming bullish case.

The EUR/JPY 4H signal is a BUY triggered by a confluence of momentum, pattern, and trend indicators. The Bear Flag pattern suggests a potential continuation of the prevailing downtrend, but the simultaneous bullish signals (BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OB Entry, and multiple retreats) indicate a short-term bounce or reversal. The signal's probability is 74% with moderate strength, reflecting a mix of bullish momentum and bearish trend context.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: shorter timeframes (15m to 1h) are bullish but choppy, while higher timeframes (2h to 12h) are bearish with solid trends. This suggests that the bullish signal may be a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 187.46700 is the immediate upside target, while support at 179.36400 is the critical level to watch. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a drop below support would invalidate the bullish thesis.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCH KD, WILLR) all pointing bullish.
▲ The MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, and DEMA retreats suggest price is pulling back to dynamic support levels, which could fuel a bounce.
▲ The HT TRENDMODE shift to Cycle indicates a potential change in trend dynamics, possibly supporting a reversal.
▲ The signal probability is high (74%) and the bullish signals are consistent across several indicators.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are bearish with solid trends, suggesting the overall trend is down and the bullish signal may be a temporary correction.
▼ The Bear Flag pattern is typically bearish, so the bullish signals could be a false breakout within the flag.
▼ If price fails to hold above the nearest support at 179.36400, the bullish setup is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
▼ The shorter timeframes are choppy, indicating a lack of clear direction, which could lead to whipsaws.