GBP/JPY 2H SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
83%
▼ SELL
STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 40% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 17% (7.73) ▼ Bearish 83% (38.20)
GBP/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Falling Wedge chart_pattern 2.83
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 2.59
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.46
WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.36
SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.29
CCI OB Exit indicator 2.17
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.96
EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.95
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.83
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 1.74
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.44
Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 1.27
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.13

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals align on the 2H chart, including a falling wedge and trendline break, pointing to continued downside.
  • All timeframes from 15m to 1D are bearish, with the 8H showing a very strong trend, reinforcing the sell bias.
  • Watch the nearest support at 209.56500; a break below could accelerate the decline, while resistance at 212.32100 is the key invalidation level.
  • The signal has a 69% probability and moderate strength, so manage risk accordingly and watch for momentum confirmation.
The GBP/JPY 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, Falling Wedge, and multiple indicator exits from overbought territory (CCI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit) alongside EMA 50 and SMA 50 Retreat Downs. This confluence points to a strong bearish push, with the falling wedge pattern suggesting a continuation of the downtrend rather than a reversal. The trend across timeframes is uniformly bearish, with the 8H showing a very strong trend (4/5) and the 1D solid (3/5), reinforcing that the medium-term bias is to the downside. The 2H and 4H both show solid trends (3/5), while lower timeframes are still forming, indicating that the move may be early but aligned with higher timeframe momentum.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 212.32100 and support at 209.56500. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. The signal probability is 69% with moderate strength, suggesting a decent edge but not a high-conviction setup. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and watch for any signs of momentum fading, especially if the 1H timeframe, which is choppy/sideways, starts to show conflicting signals.
Catalysts
  • Trend alignment across all timeframes, with the 8H showing a very strong bearish trend (4/5).
  • Confluence of bearish signals: falling wedge, trendline break, and multiple overbought exits.
  • EMA 50 and SMA 50 retreating down, confirming the bearish momentum.
  • Solid trend scores on 2H and 4H (3/5) support the continuation of the move.
Risk Factors
  • The 1H timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could indicate a lack of momentum or a potential consolidation before further downside.
  • If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 212.32100, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • The lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are still forming their trends (2/5), suggesting the move may lack immediate follow-through.
  • Overbought exits can sometimes lead to sharp reversals if the trend is mature; watch for any bullish reversal patterns.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 83%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-08-05 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 212.32100 2026-08-04
R2 218.67600 2026-07-30
R3 218.82900 2026-07-20
S1 209.56500 2026-08-03

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