GBP/JPY 4H BUY

· 13 hours ago
BUY
81%
▲ BUY
STRONG
Swing
Prognose: 36% historisch
▲ Bullish 81% (13.28) ▼ Bearish 19% (3.18)
GBP/JPY  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Bear Flag chart_pattern 2.97
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%) fibonacci 2.40
MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.28
MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.00
DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.81
MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.63
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.41
STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.29
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.00

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish signals on 4H, but they are against the higher-timeframe bearish trend.
  • Watch for a move toward resistance at 218.676; a break above could signal further upside.
  • Support at 209.565 is a key level; a drop below would invalidate the bullish signal.
  • Mixed trend alignment across timeframes suggests caution; the signal may be a short-term bounce.
The 4H GBP/JPY signal is a BUY, driven by a cluster of bullish indicators including a Bear Flag pattern, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, and multiple retreat-up signals (DEMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) plus an HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up. These signals suggest that despite the prevailing bearish trend on higher timeframes, a short-term bullish reversal is underway. The Bear Flag pattern typically indicates a continuation of the prior downtrend, but the confluence of momentum and price-retreat signals points to a potential bounce toward the nearest resistance at 218.676.

Trend alignment across timeframes is mixed: the 15m and 30m are bullish, while the 2H through 1D are bearish, with the 4H and 8H showing very strong bearish trends. This suggests the bullish signal is counter-trend on higher timeframes, which reduces its reliability. The key support at 209.565 is far below, and resistance at 218.676 is the immediate target. Traders should watch for a break above resistance to confirm the bullish move, but be cautious of the dominant bearish trend resuming.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of multiple bullish indicators (Bear Flag, BOP, STOCH, DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, HT PHASOR) on the 4H chart.
  • Bullish momentum on lower timeframes (15m, 30m) supports a short-term upward move.
  • Strong probability (82%) and strong signal strength indicate high conviction in the signal.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are bearish, with very strong trends on 4H and 8H, which could overpower the bullish move.
  • A drop below the nearest support at 209.565 would invalidate the bullish signal.
  • The Bear Flag pattern is typically bearish; its bullish interpretation here may be a false signal.
  • Resistance at 218.676 may cap upside, and momentum could fade if price fails to break it.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Probability 81%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-08-05 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 218.67600 2026-07-30
R2 219.60500 2026-07-15
S1 209.56500 2026-08-03

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