USD/CHF 4H SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
89%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Swing
Prognose: 36% historisch
▲ Bullish 11% (2.59) ▼ Bearish 89% (20.73)
USD/CHF  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.11
SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.97
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.96
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) fibonacci 1.84
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.73
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.60
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.34
Bearish Harami candlestick 1.29
Hanging Man candlestick 0.97

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple indicators align for a strong bearish signal on USD/CHF 4H.
  • All timeframes show bearish bias, though higher timeframes are still choppy.
  • Watch key resistance at 0.82065; a break above would invalidate the setup.
  • Support at 0.80390 is the immediate downside objective.
The USD/CHF 4H signal fires a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%), and a Bearish Harami candlestick pattern. This confluence points to sustained selling pressure, with the 50% Fibonacci retracement acting as a key pivot. The signal's very strong strength and 100% probability reflect the alignment of these multiple technical tools.

Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish, though momentum is still forming on lower timeframes (15m-1h) and choppy/sideways on higher ones (2h-1d). This suggests the trend is developing but not yet fully mature. The nearest resistance at 0.82065 is a critical level; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup. Conversely, the nearest support at 0.80390 offers a potential downside target, but traders should watch for a slowdown in momentum as price approaches this level.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of bearish signals across candlestick, Fibonacci, and indicator groups.
  • Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, from 15m to daily.
  • Bearish Harami pattern adds candlestick confirmation.
  • Strong trend scores and very strong signal strength.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframe trends are still choppy/sideways, which could limit follow-through.
  • A break above resistance at 0.82065 would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • Momentum may fade near support at 0.80390, leading to a bounce.
  • Trend scores are low (1-2/5), indicating the trend is not yet fully established.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Probability 89%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-05 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.82065 2026-07-29
S1 0.80390 2026-07-30
S2 0.80335 2026-07-15
S3 0.80302 2026-07-10

Tags

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