USD/JPY 1H BUY

· 13 hours ago
BUY
87%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 46% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 87% (39.82) ▼ Bearish 13% (5.76)
USD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Symmetrical Triangle chart_pattern 3.49
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.59
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.35
SAR Flip Bearish indicator 2.17
CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.61
RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.61
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.55
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.54
SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 1.42
Trendline Retreat Up trendline 1.27
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%) fibonacci 1.26
MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.24
ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.24
ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.24
Support Level Retreat Up sr 1.23
Hammer candlestick 0.98
Bullish Harami candlestick 0.67

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on 1H with 88% probability and multiple confirmations.
  • Trendline breaks and symmetrical triangle breakout suggest bullish reversal.
  • Higher timeframes are bearish, so this is a counter-trend trade with limited upside potential.
  • Watch resistance at 157.95400 and support at 157.30400 for validation.
The USD/JPY 1H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a very strong probability of 88% and a cluster of 17 signals spanning trendline breaks, a symmetrical triangle, and multiple momentum oscillators crossing above zero (BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC). The trendline break up and retreat up indicate a bullish reversal from a downtrend, while the symmetrical triangle suggests a period of consolidation that is resolving to the upside. The confluence of these signals on the 1H timeframe points to strong buying pressure and a likely continuation of the upward move.

However, the broader trend context is bearish across all higher timeframes, with the 4H, 8H, and 12H showing very strong bearish trends. This creates a conflict: the 1H bullish signal is counter-trend against the larger bearish structure. The nearest resistance at 157.95400 is a key level to watch; if price can break and hold above it, it could signal a deeper correction or even a reversal. The nearest support at 157.30400 is the invalidation level for this bullish signal.
Catalysts
  • Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC) all crossing above zero, confirming bullish momentum.
  • Trendline break up and retreat up indicate a clear shift in short-term direction.
  • Symmetrical triangle breakout adds a chart pattern confluence.
  • High probability and very strong strength score suggest robust signal alignment.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are in strong bearish trends, which could overpower the 1H bullish move.
  • The 1H trend is still bearish and choppy, so the bullish signal may be a temporary pullback.
  • If price fails to break above resistance at 157.95400, the bullish case weakens.
  • A break below support at 157.30400 would invalidate the signal and likely resume the downtrend.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Probability 87%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-05 15:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 157.95400 2026-08-04
R2 160.87200 2026-07-31
R3 163.73600 2026-07-30
S1 157.30400 2026-08-05
S2 157.21400 2026-08-04
S3 156.23500 2026-08-03

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