USD/JPY – 4H – SELL

2026-08-05 12:00 UTC · 13 hours ago

SELL

100%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Swing

Prognose: 56% historisch

▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (13.80)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Flag	chart_pattern	2.12
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.66
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)	fibonacci	1.56
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.54
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	WMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.44
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.89
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.77

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A Bear Flag breakdown on the 4H chart signals a likely continuation of the downtrend.
All major timeframes are bearish, with the 4H, 8H, and 12H showing very strong trend strength.
Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, BBANDS, EMA, KAMA, WMA) confirm the bearish momentum.
Watch the nearest resistance at 163.94700 for a potential retest; support at 155.22400 is the key downside target.

The USD/JPY 4H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Bear Flag pattern and confirmed by a Fibonacci Break DownTrend, alongside multiple indicator crossovers and retreats (BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, WMA Retreat Down). This confluence suggests strong selling pressure, with the trend aligned bearish across all timeframes from 15m to 1D. The 4H and higher timeframes (8H, 12H) show very strong trend scores (4/5), while the 1H is choppy but still bearish, indicating a robust downtrend with minor pullbacks. The nearest resistance at 163.94700 is a key level to watch for any rebound, while the nearest support at 155.22400 represents a significant downside target. The signal's probability is rated 100% with very strong strength, reflecting the overwhelming bearish alignment and pattern confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes, with strong bearish scores on higher timeframes.
▼ Confluence of a Bear Flag pattern and Fibonacci Break DownTrend, both classic bearish signals.
▼ Multiple indicator crossovers and retreats all pointing in the same direction.
▼ High signal probability (100%) and very strong strength rating.

Risk Factors

▲ A break back above the nearest resistance at 163.94700 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The 1H timeframe shows choppy/sideways action, which could lead to short-term consolidation before further downside.
▲ If the price fails to break below the nearest support, the downtrend may stall, and a reversal could occur.
▲ Momentum could fade if the stochastic and BOP indicators show bullish divergence on lower timeframes.