USD/JPY – 2H – SELL

2026-08-06 00:00 UTC · 20 days ago

SELL

100%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (22.66)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	2.30
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)	fibonacci	2.26
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.99
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.98
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	MAMA Cross Down	indicator	1.49

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence: multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, MAMA, SMA 50, Fibonacci) all point down.
Trend alignment across all timeframes supports the sell signal, with strongest momentum on higher timeframes.
Key levels: resistance at 157.954, support at 155.224; a break below support could extend the decline.
Watch for a close above resistance to invalidate the bearish setup.

The USD/JPY 2H signal has fired a cluster of bearish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, MAMA Cross Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%), and Resistance Level Retreat Down. This confluence suggests strong selling pressure, with momentum and trend indicators aligning to the downside. The bearish trend is consistent across all monitored timeframes, from 15 minutes to daily, with the strongest trend scores on the 4H, 8H, and 12H charts (4/5 each). The 2H timeframe itself shows a solid trend (3/5), reinforcing the signal's validity.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 157.954 and the nearest support at 155.224. A break below the support could accelerate the downtrend, while a bounce off support might indicate a temporary pause. The alignment of multiple indicators and the consistent bearish trend across timeframes suggest that the path of least resistance is lower. However, traders should remain cautious of any reversal signals, especially if price reclaims the resistance level.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator confluence (BOP, STOCHF, MAMA, SMA 50, Fibonacci) all bearish.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with very strong scores on 4H, 8H, and 12H.
▼ Resistance level retreat suggests sellers are defending that area.
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) indicates price is below the retracement level, favoring continuation.

Risk Factors

▲ A close above the resistance at 157.954 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Momentum could fade if price approaches the support at 155.224, leading to a bounce.
▲ Higher timeframe trends, while bearish, could show signs of exhaustion if RSI or other oscillators diverge.
▲ Choppy conditions on 30m and 1h (trend score 1/5) may lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.