USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-08-06 05:00 UTC · 20 days ago

BUY

100%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 100% (94.05) ▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.33
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▲	Triple Top Retreat Up	chart_pattern	1.46
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.33
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	1.31
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	1.28
▲	Trendline Retreat Up	trendline	1.27
▲	Double Top Retreat Up	chart_pattern	1.25
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.23
▲	EMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	1.21
▲	Southern Doji	candlestick	1.20
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.16
▲	Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (50%)	fibonacci	1.13
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.12

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish signals on the 30M chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the overall trend remains bearish.
Key resistance at 157.81200 is the immediate target; a break above could signal a deeper correction.
Support at 157.30600 is the invalidation level; a close below would negate the bullish signals.
The high probability (91%) and strong strength are based on short-term momentum, not a trend reversal.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, Trendline Retreat Up, Double Top Retreat Up, Triple Top Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, EMA 50 Retreat Up, and KAMA Retreat Up, among others. These signals collectively indicate that the recent bearish momentum is losing steam and a short-term bounce is likely. The retreat-up patterns suggest that price is pulling back to key support levels and finding buyers, while the BOP zero cross up confirms improving buying pressure. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with the 4H, 8H, and 12H showing very strong downtrends. This creates a conflict: the 30M signals are counter-trend, implying a corrective move rather than a reversal. The nearest resistance at 157.81200 is a critical barrier; a break above it could signal a deeper retracement, but failure to break it would likely see the bearish trend resume. Nearest support at 157.30600 is the immediate floor; a close below this level would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish patterns (trendline, candlestick, indicator, Fibonacci, chart pattern, support/resistance) on the 30M chart.
▲ Retreat-up signals from key indicators (BBANDS LOWER, EMA 50, KAMA) indicate strong buying interest at lower levels.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up confirms improving buying pressure, supporting the short-term bullish momentum.
▲ The 30M chart is showing a pause in the downtrend, with price holding above support.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are in very strong bearish trends, which could overwhelm the short-term bounce.
▼ The 15M and 30M trends are still bearish, indicating that the bullish signals may be premature.
▼ Resistance at 157.81200 is nearby and could cap upside; failure to break it would likely lead to a resumption of the downtrend.
▼ A close below support at 157.30600 would invalidate the bullish setup and trigger further downside.