USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

2026-08-06 00:00 UTC · 21 days ago

SELL

100%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (80.94)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Bottom Retreat Down	chart_pattern	2.44
▼	Triple Bottom Retreat Down	chart_pattern	2.38
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.75
▼	Trendline Retreat Down	trendline	1.70
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	1.64
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)	fibonacci	1.63
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.57
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.16
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.93
▼	Falling Window	candlestick	0.69

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 30-minute chart with multiple signals firing simultaneously.
Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) confirm a solid downtrend, adding weight to the sell signal.
Key support at 157.30600 is the immediate downside target; a break below could open further declines.
Watch the 157.87000 resistance level – a move above it would negate the bearish setup.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Trendline Retreat Down, Double and Triple Bottom Retreat Down, CCI OB Exit, DI CROSS Cross Down, DM CROSS Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and WILLR OB Exit, among others. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure at current levels, with multiple technical tools aligning to confirm a downside move. The signal probability is very high at 91%, reflecting the strength of this bearish setup.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is well established on the higher timeframes, with 4H, 8H, and 12H all showing very strong bearish trends (4/5), and 2H and 1D showing solid bearish trends (3/5). The lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are also bearish but choppy, while the 1H is slightly bullish, suggesting a minor pullback risk. The nearest resistance is at 157.87000, and the nearest support is at 157.30600. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish thesis.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple technical patterns (Trendline Retreat, Double/Triple Bottom Retreat) align with bearish indicators.
▼ Oscillator exits from overbought territory (CCI, WILLR) and bearish crosses (DI, DM, STOCH) confirm momentum shift.
▼ Strong trend scores on 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes support the bearish direction.
▼ Price is respecting resistance levels, with retreats from key levels reinforcing the sell signal.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H timeframe shows a bullish trend, which could lead to a short-term bounce against the signal.
▲ Choppy conditions on lower timeframes (15m, 30m) may cause false breakouts or whipsaws.
▲ A close above 157.87000 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a rally.
▲ If momentum fades, the signal may lose strength, leading to a consolidation phase.