AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY

2026-08-07 16:00 UTC · 15 hours ago

BUY

65%

▲ BUY

MODERATE

Intraday

Prognose: 28% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 65% (30.89) ▼ Bearish 35% (16.40)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	2.99
▼	Double Top	chart_pattern	2.60
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.16
▲	Symmetrical Triangle	chart_pattern	2.13
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)	fibonacci	2.08
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.07
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.05
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	1.99
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.79
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.55
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.44

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 1H signal is strongly bullish, but higher timeframes are still bearish—this looks like a counter-trend bounce.
Watch the nearest resistance at 111.485; a break above could open further upside, but failure may lead to a reversal.
Support at 111.065 is the key invalidation level for the bullish signal.
The confluence of patterns and indicators adds weight, but the bearish higher timeframe trend is a major headwind.

The AUD/JPY 1H signal fires a bullish confluence of patterns, indicators, and trendline breaks, yet the broader multi-timeframe trend remains bearish. The immediate triggers—Trendline Break Up, Trendline Break Down, Double Top, Symmetrical Triangle, BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, CMO Zero Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, plus six more—suggest a potential short-term reversal or a counter-trend bounce. The 1H trend is choppy/sideways (1/5), while higher timeframes (8H, 12H) show solid bearish trends, indicating that any upside may be corrective rather than a full reversal.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 111.485 and support at 111.065. A break above resistance could signal a stronger bullish shift, but with the daily trend still bearish, the upside may be limited. Conversely, a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the broader downtrend. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a larger bearish context, using tight risk management.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals fire simultaneously on the 1H chart (trendline breaks, pattern completions, indicator crossovers).
▲ Oversold conditions (CCI OS Exit) and RSI midline cross up suggest momentum is turning in favor of buyers.
▲ The 1H trend is choppy/sideways, which can allow for a bounce within a broader bearish trend.
▲ The nearest resistance is not far above, providing a clear target for a short-term move.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend across all timeframes is bearish, especially the solid 8H and 12H trends, which could overpower the 1H bullish signal.
▼ If price fails to break above 111.485 resistance, the bullish signal may fizzle and reverse.
▼ A break below 111.065 support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.
▼ The 1H trend is weak (1/5), indicating low conviction in the current bullish move.