USD/JPY 1H SELL

· 17 hours ago
SELL
65%
▼ SELL
WEAK
Intraday
Prognose: 28% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 35% (10.98) ▼ Bearish 65% (20.04)
USD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Symmetrical Triangle chart_pattern 3.91
BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 3.17
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.18
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 2.08
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.74
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.69
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.62
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.55
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.51
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.36
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.34
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.21
Last Engulfing Top candlestick 1.17
Tweezers Top candlestick 1.11
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.88
Last Engulfing Bottom candlestick 0.87

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence across multiple indicators and timeframes.
  • Breakdown of Symmetrical Triangle and trendline support confirms downside momentum.
  • Immediate support at 157.306; a break could open further downside.
  • Resistance at 158.570 is the key invalidation level for bearish bias.
The USD/JPY 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down and Trendline Break Down, a Symmetrical Triangle breakdown, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, and DEMA/EMA Retreat Down, among others. This confluence of trendline, chart pattern, and momentum indicators points to sustained selling pressure. The bearish alignment across all timeframes—from 15m to 1D—reinforces the strength of the move, with the 8H and 12H showing very strong trends. The nearest support at 157.306 is the immediate downside target, while resistance at 158.570 becomes the key level to watch for any reversal.

The consistency of bearish signals across multiple groups (fibonacci, candlestick, chart_pattern, trendline, indicator) and the solid trend scores on lower and higher timeframes suggest that the current downtrend is well-established. The break of the symmetrical triangle and the sustained momentum indicators imply that sellers remain in control. However, the proximity to the support level means that the downside may be limited in the short term. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for potential continuation or reversal signals.
Catalysts
  • Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes (15m to 1D).
  • Multiple signal groups (trendline, chart pattern, indicator) align bearish.
  • Very strong trend scores on 8H and 12H timeframes.
  • Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF) confirm selling pressure.
Risk Factors
  • Proximity to support at 157.306 could trigger a bounce.
  • If price reclaims resistance at 158.570, bearish setup invalidated.
  • Potential for short-term oversold conditions leading to a pullback.
  • Higher timeframe (1D) trend, while bearish, shows only solid (3/5) strength, not very strong.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Probability 65%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-08-07 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.57000 2026-08-07
R2 160.87200 2026-07-31
R3 163.73600 2026-07-30
S1 157.30600 2026-08-05
S2 157.30400 2026-08-05
S3 157.21400 2026-08-04

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