USD/JPY 30M SELL

· 19 days ago
SELL
100%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (48.56)
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.25
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) fibonacci 1.88
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.78
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.73
STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.68
DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.64
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.55
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.47
DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.45
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.40
HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.34
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.25
CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.24
RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.24
HT SINE Cross Up indicator 1.24
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.21
CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.17
AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.07
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.06
AROON Cross Down indicator 0.95
AROONOSC Zero Cross Down indicator 0.95
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.85

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals on the 30M chart point to a strong short-term sell opportunity.
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, aligning with the short-term direction.
  • Key levels: support at 158.21000, resistance at 158.57000—a break below support opens further downside.
  • Watch the 1H/2H bullish trend as a potential source of conflict that could limit the move.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, AROON Cross Down, and multiple zero-line crosses on momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, CMO). This confluence, with 93% probability and very strong strength, points to a decisive shift to the downside in the short term. The 30M timeframe is bearish and choppy, but the alignment with higher timeframes—4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all bearish with solid to very strong trends—suggests the short-term move is part of a larger downtrend. The immediate downside target is the nearest support at 158.21000, with resistance overhead at 158.57000 acting as a barrier to any bounce.

Traders should watch for a break below 158.21000 to confirm further downside, while a reclaim of 158.57000 would invalidate the bearish setup. The 1H and 2H timeframes remain bullish, which introduces a conflict and could slow the move, but the overwhelming bearish momentum on lower and higher timeframes keeps the bias firmly to the downside. As with any high-probability signal, risk management is essential, and the invalidation level should be placed above the resistance zone.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of trendline break, AROON cross, and multiple zero-line crosses on momentum indicators.
  • Strong bearish alignment across 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes.
  • High probability (93%) and very strong signal strength.
  • Support/resistance levels are well-defined, providing clear targets and invalidation points.
Risk Factors
  • The 1H and 2H timeframes are bullish, which could lead to a pullback or reversal.
  • If price breaks above 158.57000, the bearish signal is invalidated.
  • Choppy price action on the 30M timeframe may cause false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • Momentum could fade if the price stalls at support without a clear break.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-07 13:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.57000 2026-08-07
S1 158.21000 2026-08-07
S2 157.55200 2026-08-06
S3 157.30600 2026-08-05

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