USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

2026-08-07 18:30 UTC · 17 hours ago

SELL

95%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

▲ Bullish 5% (1.04) ▼ Bearish 95% (20.64)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Top	chart_pattern	3.25
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.44
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.33
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.19
▼	Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%)	fibonacci	1.95
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	Trendline Retreat Down	trendline	1.83
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.80
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.61
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	SMA 200 Break Down	indicator	1.35
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	Three Outside Down	candlestick	1.15

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals align on the 30-minute chart, including a Double Top and trendline breaks, indicating strong selling pressure.
All timeframes from 15-min to daily are bearish, with the 8-hour and 12-hour trends very strong, confirming the downtrend.
Watch the nearest support at 157.306; a break could extend losses, while a move above 158.474 would negate the bearish setup.
The high-probability, very strong signal suggests a high-confidence short setup, but risk management is essential.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, Trendline Break Down, Double Top, STOCH KD Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA). This confluence of chart patterns, trendline breaks, and indicator crossovers points to strong downward momentum. The bearish alignment is consistent across all monitored timeframes, from 15-minute up to daily, with the 8-hour and 12-hour charts showing very strong trends. Such multi-timeframe agreement amplifies the reliability of the sell signal.

Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 158.474 and nearest support at 157.306. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The signal's high probability and very strong strength, combined with trend scores of 3/5 or higher across timeframes, suggest the path of least resistance is lower. However, traders should remain vigilant for any reversal signs, especially if price reclaims the resistance zone.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals (Double Top, Trendline Break Down, STOCH KD Cross Down) on the 30-minute chart.
▼ Bearish alignment across all timeframes, with very strong trends on 8-hour and 12-hour charts.
▼ Retreats from key moving averages (EMA, DEMA, KAMA) reinforce the downward momentum.
▼ Fibonacci and candlestick patterns add to the bearish confluence.

Risk Factors

▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 158.474, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ A potential bounce from the nearest support at 157.306 could lead to a short-term rally.
▲ Momentum could fade if the stochastic or trend scores weaken, especially on lower timeframes.
▲ Watch for any bullish reversal patterns or news catalysts that could shift sentiment.