USD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
100%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100% (73.76)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Williams %R Regular Bear Div | divergence | 3.29 |
| ▼ | Stoch Regular Bear Div | divergence | 2.84 |
| ▼ | MACD Hist Regular Bear Div | divergence | 2.73 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.28 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.19 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.08 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▼ | MACD Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (100%) | fibonacci | 1.36 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.28 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.24 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▲ | Bullish Meeting Lines | candlestick | 0.90 |
| ▼ | DX Trend Weak | indicator | 0.87 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPSolid trend
2HUPSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNVery strong trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal cluster on the 30M chart, but higher timeframes (4H and above) are already bearish, supporting the sell bias.
- Nearest resistance at 158.551 and support at 157.552 are the key levels to watch for confirmation or invalidation.
- Momentum oscillators (MACD, MOM, ROC, STOCHF) all crossed down, signaling a shift to bearish momentum on the short-term.
- Trendline Retreat Down adds confluence, but the 1H and 30M trends are still bullish, so a pullback could be limited.
The 30-minute USD/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, and multiple momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) crossing down, alongside a DX Trend Weak reading. This suggests a short-term pullback within a broader context. While the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes still show a bullish trend forming, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish and solid, with the 8H and 12H showing very strong bearish trends. This alignment of bearish momentum on higher timeframes supports the sell signal, indicating that the current move may be a resumption of the larger downtrend rather than a mere correction.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.551 and support at 157.552. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. The confluence of trendline, momentum, and candlestick signals on the 30M timeframe, combined with the bearish higher timeframe alignment, gives the signal moderate strength. However, the mixed lower timeframe trends and the proximity of the bullish 1H trend suggest caution; traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.551 and support at 157.552. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. The confluence of trendline, momentum, and candlestick signals on the 30M timeframe, combined with the bearish higher timeframe alignment, gives the signal moderate strength. However, the mixed lower timeframe trends and the proximity of the bullish 1H trend suggest caution; traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.
Catalysts
- ▼ Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, with 8H and 12H showing very strong bearish trends.
- ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) crossing down simultaneously.
- ▼ Trendline Retreat Down and candlestick signals add confluence to the bearish setup.
- ▼ DX Trend Weak suggests the current trend may be gaining strength, aligning with the bearish momentum.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 30M and 1H timeframes are still bullish, which could limit downside or cause a bounce.
- ▲ The 15M trend is bearish but choppy/sideways, indicating weak conviction in the immediate direction.
- ▲ If price breaks above the resistance at 158.551, the sell signal would be invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the broader daily trend (which is bearish) is already stretched, leading to a consolidation.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-07 00:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 158.55100 | 2026-08-06 |
| S1 | 157.55200 | 2026-08-06 |
| S2 | 157.30600 | 2026-08-05 |
| S3 | 157.30400 | 2026-08-05 |
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