USD/JPY 30M SELL

· 20 days ago
SELL
100%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (73.76)
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Williams %R Regular Bear Div divergence 3.29
Stoch Regular Bear Div divergence 2.84
MACD Hist Regular Bear Div divergence 2.73
MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.28
DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.22
MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.19
MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.12
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.08
EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.05
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.99
MA Retreat Up indicator 1.92
WILLR OB Exit indicator 1.73
MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.71
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.53
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.52
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (100%) fibonacci 1.36
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.34
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.34
ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.34
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.28
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.24
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.23
Bullish Meeting Lines candlestick 0.90
DX Trend Weak indicator 0.87

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPSolid trend
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal cluster on the 30M chart, but higher timeframes (4H and above) are already bearish, supporting the sell bias.
  • Nearest resistance at 158.551 and support at 157.552 are the key levels to watch for confirmation or invalidation.
  • Momentum oscillators (MACD, MOM, ROC, STOCHF) all crossed down, signaling a shift to bearish momentum on the short-term.
  • Trendline Retreat Down adds confluence, but the 1H and 30M trends are still bullish, so a pullback could be limited.
The 30-minute USD/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, and multiple momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) crossing down, alongside a DX Trend Weak reading. This suggests a short-term pullback within a broader context. While the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes still show a bullish trend forming, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish and solid, with the 8H and 12H showing very strong bearish trends. This alignment of bearish momentum on higher timeframes supports the sell signal, indicating that the current move may be a resumption of the larger downtrend rather than a mere correction.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.551 and support at 157.552. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. The confluence of trendline, momentum, and candlestick signals on the 30M timeframe, combined with the bearish higher timeframe alignment, gives the signal moderate strength. However, the mixed lower timeframe trends and the proximity of the bullish 1H trend suggest caution; traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.
Catalysts
  • Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, with 8H and 12H showing very strong bearish trends.
  • Multiple momentum indicators (MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) crossing down simultaneously.
  • Trendline Retreat Down and candlestick signals add confluence to the bearish setup.
  • DX Trend Weak suggests the current trend may be gaining strength, aligning with the bearish momentum.
Risk Factors
  • The 30M and 1H timeframes are still bullish, which could limit downside or cause a bounce.
  • The 15M trend is bearish but choppy/sideways, indicating weak conviction in the immediate direction.
  • If price breaks above the resistance at 158.551, the sell signal would be invalidated.
  • Momentum could fade if the broader daily trend (which is bearish) is already stretched, leading to a consolidation.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-07 00:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.55100 2026-08-06
S1 157.55200 2026-08-06
S2 157.30600 2026-08-05
S3 157.30400 2026-08-05

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