AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY
98%
▲ Bullish 98% (71.86)
▼ Bearish 2% (1.28)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- TomorrowAUDNAB Business Confidence (Jul)●●○Forecast -6Previous -5in 5h
- TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Forecast 4.35%Previous 4.35%in 8h
- TomorrowAUDRBA Press Conference●●○in 9h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.71 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.45 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.43 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.38 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.37 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.31 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.23 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.15 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.07 |
| ▲ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Up | indicator | 2.02 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.23 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, including trendline break and multiple retreat signals.
- Short-to-medium timeframes (15m-4h) are bullish, but higher timeframes (8h-1d) are bearish.
- Key support at 111.89300 is the invalidation level; a break below would negate the bullish setup.
- Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHRSI) confirm buying pressure, but caution is warranted due to higher-timeframe bearishness.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, and multiple retreat signals (EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA, MA, MAMA Price). This confluence suggests strong short-term buying momentum, with the trendline break and zero cross indicating a shift in market control. The alignment of moving average retreats further supports a continuation of the upward move, as price is pulling back to key dynamic support levels before resuming higher.
Across timeframes, the bias is predominantly bullish from 15 minutes up to 4 hours, with the 30-minute and 1-hour charts showing trend formation. However, higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) remain bearish, which poses a potential conflict. The nearest support at 111.89300 is the immediate level to watch; a break below would invalidate the bullish setup. Traders should monitor how price reacts at this support and whether the higher-timeframe bearish trend can be overcome.
Across timeframes, the bias is predominantly bullish from 15 minutes up to 4 hours, with the 30-minute and 1-hour charts showing trend formation. However, higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) remain bearish, which poses a potential conflict. The nearest support at 111.89300 is the immediate level to watch; a break below would invalidate the bullish setup. Traders should monitor how price reacts at this support and whether the higher-timeframe bearish trend can be overcome.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals (trendline break, BOP cross, STOCHRSI cross, and retreats) indicates strong momentum.
- ▲ Trend formation on 30m and 1h charts suggests a developing uptrend.
- ▲ Price is holding above key support, with moving averages acting as dynamic support.
- ▲ High probability and very strong strength scores reflect robust signal alignment.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
- ▼ A break below 111.89300 support would invalidate the bullish setup.
- ▼ The 15m and 2h charts are choppy/sideways, suggesting potential consolidation or false breakouts.
- ▼ Momentum could fade if price fails to hold above recent swing highs.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
98%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-10 21:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 111.89300 | 2026-08-10 |
| S2 | 110.76500 | 2026-08-07 |