AUD/USD 30M SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
100%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (59.61)
AUD/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowAUDNAB Business Confidence (Jul)●●○Forecast -6Previous -5in 4h
  • TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Forecast 4.35%Previous 4.35%in 7h
  • TomorrowAUDRBA Press Conference●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
WILLR OB Exit indicator 1.80
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.63
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.60
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.52
DX Trend Weak indicator 1.46
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.45
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) fibonacci 1.45
MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.36
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.00
Tweezers Top candlestick 0.86

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPSolid trend
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish reversal signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term pullback.
  • The broader trend is bullish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend signal.
  • Watch the nearest support at 0.70563; a break below could extend the decline.
  • Resistance at 0.70746 is the immediate upside barrier.
The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, Bearish Engulfing, Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%), and several indicator crossovers (BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit). Despite the broader bullish trend across all timeframes, the immediate 30-minute timeframe shows a bearish reversal attempt, with price retreating from a trendline and Fibonacci resistance. The confluence of candlestick, trendline, and Fibonacci signals suggests a short-term pullback within the larger uptrend, targeting the nearest support at 0.70563.

However, the higher-timeframe trend remains firmly bullish, with the 1-hour chart showing a solid trend (3/5) and all timeframes aligned bullish. This creates a conflicting picture: the bearish signals are counter-trend on the 30-minute, but the overall trend is up. The key levels to watch are resistance at 0.70746 and support at 0.70563. A break below support could extend the pullback, while a hold above support and a recovery would invalidate the bearish setup. The MACD Signal Cross Up is a conflicting signal, suggesting momentum may be turning up, so traders should exercise caution.
Catalysts
  • Multiple bearish signals converging: Trendline Retreat Down, Bearish Engulfing, and Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend.
  • Indicator crossovers (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) confirm weakening momentum on the 30-minute.
  • Price retreating from a Fibonacci retracement level (79%) adds confluence.
  • Strong signal strength and high probability (84%) support the bearish case.
Risk Factors
  • The higher timeframe trend is bullish, so the bearish signal may be a minor pullback within an uptrend.
  • The MACD Signal Cross Up is a conflicting signal, indicating potential bullish momentum.
  • If price holds above support and resumes the uptrend, the bearish setup fails.
  • The 15-minute and 4-hour timeframes are choppy/sideways, reducing trend clarity.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-10 09:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70746 2026-08-07
R2 0.70773 2026-08-07
S1 0.70563 2026-08-10
S2 0.70220 2026-08-07
S3 0.69834 2026-08-03

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