AUD/USD – 30M – SELL
SELL
100%
▲ Bullish 0% (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100% (59.61)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/USD
Full calendar- TomorrowAUDNAB Business Confidence (Jul)●●○Forecast -6Previous -5in 4h
- TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Forecast 4.35%Previous 4.35%in 7h
- TomorrowAUDRBA Press Conference●●○in 8h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.63 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.52 |
| ▼ | DX Trend Weak | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 1.45 |
| ▲ | MACD Signal Cross Up | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.00 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 0.86 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPSolid trend
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bearish reversal signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term pullback.
- The broader trend is bullish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend signal.
- Watch the nearest support at 0.70563; a break below could extend the decline.
- Resistance at 0.70746 is the immediate upside barrier.
The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, Bearish Engulfing, Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%), and several indicator crossovers (BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit). Despite the broader bullish trend across all timeframes, the immediate 30-minute timeframe shows a bearish reversal attempt, with price retreating from a trendline and Fibonacci resistance. The confluence of candlestick, trendline, and Fibonacci signals suggests a short-term pullback within the larger uptrend, targeting the nearest support at 0.70563.
However, the higher-timeframe trend remains firmly bullish, with the 1-hour chart showing a solid trend (3/5) and all timeframes aligned bullish. This creates a conflicting picture: the bearish signals are counter-trend on the 30-minute, but the overall trend is up. The key levels to watch are resistance at 0.70746 and support at 0.70563. A break below support could extend the pullback, while a hold above support and a recovery would invalidate the bearish setup. The MACD Signal Cross Up is a conflicting signal, suggesting momentum may be turning up, so traders should exercise caution.
However, the higher-timeframe trend remains firmly bullish, with the 1-hour chart showing a solid trend (3/5) and all timeframes aligned bullish. This creates a conflicting picture: the bearish signals are counter-trend on the 30-minute, but the overall trend is up. The key levels to watch are resistance at 0.70746 and support at 0.70563. A break below support could extend the pullback, while a hold above support and a recovery would invalidate the bearish setup. The MACD Signal Cross Up is a conflicting signal, suggesting momentum may be turning up, so traders should exercise caution.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple bearish signals converging: Trendline Retreat Down, Bearish Engulfing, and Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend.
- ▼ Indicator crossovers (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) confirm weakening momentum on the 30-minute.
- ▼ Price retreating from a Fibonacci retracement level (79%) adds confluence.
- ▼ Strong signal strength and high probability (84%) support the bearish case.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The higher timeframe trend is bullish, so the bearish signal may be a minor pullback within an uptrend.
- ▲ The MACD Signal Cross Up is a conflicting signal, indicating potential bullish momentum.
- ▲ If price holds above support and resumes the uptrend, the bearish setup fails.
- ▲ The 15-minute and 4-hour timeframes are choppy/sideways, reducing trend clarity.
Symbol
AUD/USD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-10 09:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.70746 | 2026-08-07 |
| R2 | 0.70773 | 2026-08-07 |
| S1 | 0.70563 | 2026-08-10 |
| S2 | 0.70220 | 2026-08-07 |
| S3 | 0.69834 | 2026-08-03 |
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