EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL
SELL
95%
▲ Bullish 5% (2.61)
▼ Bearish 95% (48.64)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/AUD
Full calendar- TomorrowAUDNAB Business Confidence (Jul)●●○Forecast -6Previous -5in 5h
- TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Forecast 4.35%Previous 4.35%in 8h
- TomorrowAUDRBA Press Conference●●○in 9h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.19 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.05 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.04 |
| ▼ | SMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.04 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 2.04 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 1.01 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals align on the 30-minute chart, suggesting strong selling pressure.
- Price is retreating from key moving averages and Fibonacci levels, reinforcing the bearish bias.
- Immediate trend is bullish but choppy; higher timeframes are bearish, indicating potential for a shift.
- Watch the support at 1.63438 for a breakdown and resistance at 1.63704 for invalidation.
The EUR/AUD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%), Tweezers Top, and Resistance Level Retreat Down. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure at a key resistance level, with price retreating from the 200-period moving averages and breaking below the 0% Fibonacci retracement. The immediate trend across lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) is bullish but choppy, while higher timeframes (2h through 12h) are bearish, suggesting that the current bearish signal may be a shift in momentum within a larger downtrend. The daily timeframe is bullish, adding a layer of complexity.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.63704 and support at 1.63438. A break below the support could confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the signal. Given the very strong probability and the alignment of multiple indicators, traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation. However, the conflicting higher timeframe bullishness on the daily chart warrants caution, as it could limit downside potential.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.63704 and support at 1.63438. A break below the support could confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the signal. Given the very strong probability and the alignment of multiple indicators, traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation. However, the conflicting higher timeframe bullishness on the daily chart warrants caution, as it could limit downside potential.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of signals: Trendline Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, EMA/SMA 200 Retreat Down, Fibonacci Break DownTrend, Tweezers Top, and Resistance Level Retreat Down.
- ▼ Higher timeframe bearish trend (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h) supports the bearish move.
- ▼ Price is at a resistance level, with a Tweezers Top pattern indicating a potential reversal.
- ▼ Strong trend score (very strong) and 100% probability signal.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Conflicting bullish trend on the daily timeframe could limit downside or cause a reversal.
- ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on all timeframes may lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
- ▲ If price fails to break below support at 1.63438, the bearish signal could weaken.
- ▲ A reclaim of resistance at 1.63704 would invalidate the signal and suggest a bullish continuation.
Symbol
EUR/AUD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
95%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-10 21:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.63704 | 2026-08-10 |
| R2 | 1.63706 | 2026-08-10 |
| R3 | 1.63849 | 2026-08-07 |
| S1 | 1.63438 | 2026-08-10 |
| S2 | 1.63427 | 2026-08-10 |