EUR/USD – 2H – BUY
BUY
96%
▲ Bullish 96% (54.08)
▼ Bearish 4% (2.25)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/USD
Full calendar- TomorrowEURBalance of Trade (Jun)●●○Forecast €3.2BPrevious €4.793Bin 10h
- TomorrowUSDADP Employment Change Weekly●●○Previous 15Kin 14h
- TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales (Jul)●●○Forecast 4.07MPrevious 4.09Min 16h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.33 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.25 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.23 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.18 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.18 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 2.11 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.11 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.84 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.99 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPSolid trend
2HUPSolid trend
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish confluence on EUR/USD 2H with multiple retreat signals and momentum indicators.
- Uptrend is consistent across all timeframes, but higher timeframes are still forming, so patience is key.
- Watch for a break above 1.15592 to confirm further upside; a drop below 1.15143 would invalidate the bullish setup.
- High probability (96%) and very strong strength suggest a high-quality signal, but manage risk due to mixed lower timeframe trends.
The EUR/USD 2H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a Trendline Break Down and Trendline Retreat Up, alongside EMA, KAMA, and MA Retreat Ups, plus a BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up. This confluence suggests strong buying pressure and a potential continuation of the uptrend. The trend is bullish across all timeframes, with the 1H and 2H showing solid trends (3/5), while other timeframes are either forming or choppy, indicating that the higher-timeframe momentum is supportive but not yet fully mature. The nearest resistance at 1.15592 is the immediate upside target, while support at 1.15143 provides a downside cushion. A break above resistance could open the path to higher levels, but traders should watch for a failure to hold above support as a sign of weakness.
The alignment of multiple retreat signals (EMA, KAMA, MA, and HT TRENDLINE) suggests that the recent pullback has been bought, and the trend is resuming. The BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying pressure, and the STOCHF KD Cross Up confirms bullish momentum. The probability of 96% and very strong strength underscore the conviction behind this signal. However, the lower timeframe trends (15m, 30m, 8h, 12h) are either forming or choppy, which could lead to short-term volatility. The key levels are clear: a break above 1.15592 would confirm the bullish breakout, while a loss of 1.15143 would invalidate the setup. Traders should monitor these levels closely and manage risk accordingly.
The alignment of multiple retreat signals (EMA, KAMA, MA, and HT TRENDLINE) suggests that the recent pullback has been bought, and the trend is resuming. The BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying pressure, and the STOCHF KD Cross Up confirms bullish momentum. The probability of 96% and very strong strength underscore the conviction behind this signal. However, the lower timeframe trends (15m, 30m, 8h, 12h) are either forming or choppy, which could lead to short-term volatility. The key levels are clear: a break above 1.15592 would confirm the bullish breakout, while a loss of 1.15143 would invalidate the setup. Traders should monitor these levels closely and manage risk accordingly.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals: Trendline Break Down, EMA/KAMA/MA Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up.
- ▲ Bullish trend alignment across all timeframes, with solid trends on 1H and 2H.
- ▲ Retreat signals indicate buyers are stepping in at higher lows, reinforcing upward momentum.
- ▲ Strong trend scores and high probability (96%) with very strong strength.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 8h, 12h) are either forming or choppy, which could cause short-term pullbacks.
- ▼ Nearest resistance at 1.15592 is a potential barrier; failure to break could lead to consolidation or reversal.
- ▼ If price falls below support at 1.15143, the bullish setup is invalidated.
- ▼ Momentum could fade if the BOP and STOCHF signals lose strength.
Symbol
EUR/USD
Timeframe
2H
Direction
BUY
Probability
96%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-10 08:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.15592 | 2026-08-06 |
| S1 | 1.15143 | 2026-08-06 |
| S2 | 1.14999 | 2026-08-03 |
| S3 | 1.14548 | 2026-07-31 |
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