USD/CHF – 2H – SELL
SELL
96%
▲ Bullish 4% (1.95)
▼ Bearish 96% (44.79)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/CHF
Full calendar- TomorrowUSDADP Employment Change Weekly●●○Previous 15Kin 14h
- TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales (Jul)●●○Forecast 4.07MPrevious 4.09Min 16h
- TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales MoM (Jul)●●○Forecast -0.7%Previous -2.4%in 16h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.95 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.46 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.31 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.14 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.90 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 1.24 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.18 |
| ▼ | Long Line Bearish | candlestick | 1.04 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals fired on the 2H chart, indicating strong selling pressure.
- Trend is bearish across short and medium intraday timeframes, but higher timeframes are choppy.
- Watch for a break below 0.80598 to confirm further downside; resistance at 0.81356 is key.
- The signal strength is very strong, but higher timeframe weakness suggests caution.
The USD/CHF 2H chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including Trendline Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, among others. This confluence of momentum, trend, and volatility indicators points to a strong bearish bias. The trend is consistently bearish across the 15m, 30m, 1H, and 2H timeframes, with solid trend scores on the higher intraday frames. However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are only weakly bearish and choppy, suggesting the current move may be a correction within a larger range.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.81356 and support at 0.80598. A break below support would confirm further downside, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the very strong signal strength and alignment across intraday timeframes, the bias is bearish as long as price stays below resistance. Traders should monitor for a potential bounce at support, as the higher timeframe choppiness could limit the move.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.81356 and support at 0.80598. A break below support would confirm further downside, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the very strong signal strength and alignment across intraday timeframes, the bias is bearish as long as price stays below resistance. Traders should monitor for a potential bounce at support, as the higher timeframe choppiness could limit the move.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of bearish signals across trendline, indicator, and candlestick groups.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend on 15m, 30m, 1H, and 2H timeframes.
- ▼ Strong trend scores on 1H and 2H (3/5) support the move.
- ▼ Price is retreating from a trendline, suggesting rejection of higher levels.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are choppy and only weakly bearish, which could limit downside.
- ▲ A move back above resistance at 0.81356 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if price approaches support at 0.80598, leading to a bounce.
- ▲ The very strong signal strength may attract contrarian buyers, causing a short-term reversal.
Symbol
USD/CHF
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
96%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-10 08:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.81356 | 2026-08-06 |
| R2 | 0.82065 | 2026-07-29 |
| S1 | 0.80598 | 2026-08-06 |
| S2 | 0.80390 | 2026-07-30 |
| S3 | 0.80335 | 2026-07-15 |
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