AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL

2026-08-11 16:00 UTC · 14 hours ago

SELL

100%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +9%

▲ Bullish 0% (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100% (10.00)

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50TodayJPYPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.4%in 17h
23:50TodayJPYPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 7.4%Previous 7.1%in 17h
00:15TomorrowAUDRBA Kent Speech●●○in 17h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Bull Flag	chart_pattern	3.77
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.81
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)	fibonacci	1.49
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	1.00
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.72

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence across multiple signal groups on the 2H chart.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are in solid downtrends, supporting the sell signal.
Key support at 110.76500 is the immediate downside target; a break could accelerate selling.
Watch for a potential bounce at support or a reversal if the 2H/4H bullish trend strengthens.

The AUD/JPY 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Bull Flag breakdown, Fibonacci Break DownTrend at 0%, and a Shooting Star with a Bearish Harami. Momentum indicators (BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down) and the SMA 200 Retreat Down confirm selling pressure, while the HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down adds a cyclical bearish tilt. Together, these signals point to a continuation of the downtrend from the 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes, which are all in solid bearish trends (3/5 strength).

However, the 2H and 4H timeframes are currently bullish, albeit choppy, which introduces a potential conflict. The price is approaching the nearest support at 110.76500, which could act as a floor if the bearish momentum stalls. The nearest resistance at 114.65800 is a key level to watch for a potential bounce if the bearish move fails. The confluence of multiple signal types increases the probability of a bearish continuation, but traders should be cautious of the mixed higher-timeframe signals.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish signals aligning: Bull Flag breakdown, Fibonacci Break DownTrend, and candlestick patterns.
▼ Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHRSI) confirming selling pressure.
▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) in solid bearish trends, providing macro alignment.
▼ Price retreating from SMA 200, indicating a shift in longer-term bias.

Risk Factors

▲ The 2H and 4H timeframes are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce or reversal.
▲ Nearest support at 110.76500 is nearby; if it holds, the bearish move may stall.
▲ The overall trend score is low (1/5) on lower timeframes, suggesting choppy conditions that could produce false signals.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 114.65800, the bearish thesis is invalidated.