AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY
100%
▲ Bullish 100% (78.50)
▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayJPYPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.4%in 17h
- TodayJPYPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 7.4%Previous 7.1%in 17h
- TomorrowAUDRBA Kent Speech●●○in 17h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | EMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.55 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.46 |
| ▲ | SMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.46 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.42 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 2.32 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 2.10 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.87 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.79 |
| ▼ | AROON Strong Downtrend | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▲ | Belt Hold Bullish | candlestick | 1.39 |
| ▼ | AROON Cross Down | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▼ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.34 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the higher timeframes are still bearish.
- Watch the resistance at 112.44700; a break above could extend the rally, while support at 112.06700 is the key invalidation level.
- The mix of bullish momentum indicators and bearish trend scores indicates a possible counter-trend move, so caution is advised.
- The signal strength is very strong, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends warrant careful risk management.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals despite the broader bearish trend across most timeframes. The signal set includes a Trendline Retreat Up, EMA 50 Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, and a BOP Zero Cross Up, alongside a STOCHF KD Cross Up. These indicators suggest that price is bouncing off a rising trendline and that momentum is shifting to the upside in the short term. The AROON Cross Down and AROON Strong Downtrend may appear contradictory, but in this context they likely reflect a prior downtrend that is now losing steam, with the AROONOSC Zero Cross Down confirming that the downtrend is fading.
Across timeframes, the 2-hour and 4-hour charts are bullish, though choppy, while the 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts remain in solid downtrends. This creates a mixed picture: the immediate momentum is bullish, but the higher timeframes are still bearish, suggesting this may be a counter-trend rally rather than a full reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 112.44700 and support at 112.06700. A break above resistance could signal further upside, while a move below support would invalidate the bullish setup.
Across timeframes, the 2-hour and 4-hour charts are bullish, though choppy, while the 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts remain in solid downtrends. This creates a mixed picture: the immediate momentum is bullish, but the higher timeframes are still bearish, suggesting this may be a counter-trend rally rather than a full reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 112.44700 and support at 112.06700. A break above resistance could signal further upside, while a move below support would invalidate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals on the 30-minute chart, including trendline, EMA, and KAMA retreats.
- ▲ The 2-hour and 4-hour timeframes are bullish, providing some support for the short-term upside.
- ▲ The BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up indicate improving buying pressure and momentum.
- ▲ The signal probability is high (89%) with very strong strength, suggesting a robust setup.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are in solid downtrends, which could overpower the short-term bullish move.
- ▼ The bearish AROON signals (Cross Down and Strong Downtrend) may indicate that the downtrend is not fully exhausted.
- ▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 112.06700, the bullish setup would be invalidated.
- ▼ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are bearish, which could mean the bounce is weak and prone to failure.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-11 21:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 112.44700 | 2026-08-10 |
| S1 | 112.06700 | 2026-08-11 |
| S2 | 111.89300 | 2026-08-10 |
| S3 | 110.76500 | 2026-08-07 |
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