AUD/JPY 30M BUY

· 11 hours ago
BUY
100%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 100% (78.50) ▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.4%in 17h
  • TodayJPYPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 7.4%Previous 7.1%in 17h
  • TomorrowAUDRBA Kent Speech●●○in 17h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
EMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.55
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.46
SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.46
Support Level Retreat Up sr 2.42
Trendline Retreat Up trendline 2.32
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 2.10
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (0%) fibonacci 1.87
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.79
AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.72
Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 1.39
AROON Cross Down indicator 1.34
AROONOSC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.34

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the higher timeframes are still bearish.
  • Watch the resistance at 112.44700; a break above could extend the rally, while support at 112.06700 is the key invalidation level.
  • The mix of bullish momentum indicators and bearish trend scores indicates a possible counter-trend move, so caution is advised.
  • The signal strength is very strong, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends warrant careful risk management.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals despite the broader bearish trend across most timeframes. The signal set includes a Trendline Retreat Up, EMA 50 Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, and a BOP Zero Cross Up, alongside a STOCHF KD Cross Up. These indicators suggest that price is bouncing off a rising trendline and that momentum is shifting to the upside in the short term. The AROON Cross Down and AROON Strong Downtrend may appear contradictory, but in this context they likely reflect a prior downtrend that is now losing steam, with the AROONOSC Zero Cross Down confirming that the downtrend is fading.

Across timeframes, the 2-hour and 4-hour charts are bullish, though choppy, while the 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts remain in solid downtrends. This creates a mixed picture: the immediate momentum is bullish, but the higher timeframes are still bearish, suggesting this may be a counter-trend rally rather than a full reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 112.44700 and support at 112.06700. A break above resistance could signal further upside, while a move below support would invalidate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of multiple bullish signals on the 30-minute chart, including trendline, EMA, and KAMA retreats.
  • The 2-hour and 4-hour timeframes are bullish, providing some support for the short-term upside.
  • The BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up indicate improving buying pressure and momentum.
  • The signal probability is high (89%) with very strong strength, suggesting a robust setup.
Risk Factors
  • The higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are in solid downtrends, which could overpower the short-term bullish move.
  • The bearish AROON signals (Cross Down and Strong Downtrend) may indicate that the downtrend is not fully exhausted.
  • If price breaks below the nearest support at 112.06700, the bullish setup would be invalidated.
  • The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are bearish, which could mean the bounce is weak and prone to failure.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-11 21:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 112.44700 2026-08-10
S1 112.06700 2026-08-11
S2 111.89300 2026-08-10
S3 110.76500 2026-08-07

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