AUD/USD – 12H – BUY
BUY
83%
▲ Bullish 83% (18.20)
▼ Bearish 17% (3.72)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/USD
Full calendar- TodayUSDMonthly Budget Statement (Jul)●●○Forecast -$340BPrevious -$120Bin 3h
- TomorrowAUDRBA Kent Speech●●○in 9h
- TomorrowUSDFed Hammack Speech●●○in 21h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.75 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.30 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.28 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.18 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.81 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.58 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.16 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 0.78 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A strong bullish signal cluster on the 12H chart suggests upward momentum.
- Higher timeframes (8H, 1D) are forming bullish trends, supporting the signal.
- Key support at 0.69218 is the level to watch; a break below would weaken the case.
- Shorter timeframes are choppy, so expect possible consolidation before continuation.
The AUD/USD 12H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OB Entry, and multiple moving average retreats (EMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, SMA), all pointing to renewed upside momentum. The confluence of candlestick, Fibonacci, and indicator signals at the 12H timeframe suggests a strong bullish push, with probability rated at 93% and very strong strength.
Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bullish but choppy, with the 8H and 1D showing trend formation (2/5), while shorter timeframes (15m to 2h) are mixed or bearish. This mixed lower-timeframe alignment indicates that the move may be in early stages, but the higher-timeframe bullish bias supports the signal. Key support sits at 0.69218; a break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup.
Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bullish but choppy, with the 8H and 1D showing trend formation (2/5), while shorter timeframes (15m to 2h) are mixed or bearish. This mixed lower-timeframe alignment indicates that the move may be in early stages, but the higher-timeframe bullish bias supports the signal. Key support sits at 0.69218; a break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple indicator confluence: BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, and moving average retreats all align bullish.
- ▲ Higher timeframe trend formation (8H, 1D) supports the 12H signal.
- ▲ Strong trend score and high probability (93%) indicate robust momentum.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Shorter timeframes (15m-2h) are bearish or choppy, which could lead to pullbacks.
- ▼ Nearest resistance is not defined, leaving upside targets unclear.
- ▼ A break below support at 0.69218 would invalidate the bullish signal.
- ▼ Choppy price action across most timeframes suggests potential for false signals.
Symbol
AUD/USD
Timeframe
12H
Direction
BUY
Probability
83%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-11 12:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 0.69218 | 2026-07-29 |
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