EUR/AUD 12H SELL

· 14 hours ago
SELL
77%
▼ SELL
STRONG
Position
Prognose: 42% historisch
⚡ Confluence +17%
▲ Bullish 23% (4.48) ▼ Bearish 77% (14.64)
EUR/AUD  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowAUDRBA Kent Speech●●○in 9h
  • TomorrowEURInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 3.5%Previous 3.2%in 16h
  • TomorrowEURHarmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.6%in 16h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) fibonacci 1.97
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.94
SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.94
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.93
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.90
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.87
HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.77
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.69
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.64
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.62
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.56
DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.53
AROON Cross Down indicator 1.48
AROONOSC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.48
DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.35
AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.30
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.97
Bearish Separating Lines candlestick 0.93

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on the 12H chart with a 96% probability and very strong trend score.
  • Multiple indicators confirm the downtrend, including Aroon, DI, DM, and Stochastic crosses.
  • Immediate support at 1.62445 is the key level to watch for a breakdown; resistance at 1.65036 is the invalidation point.
  • Lower timeframes are mostly bearish but choppy, so momentum may be uneven.
The EUR/AUD 12H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Aroon Cross Down, Aroon Strong Downtrend, Aroon Oscillator Zero Cross Down, Balance of Power Zero Cross Down, Directional Index Cross Down, Directional Movement Cross Down, Stochastic Fast KD Cross Down, and EMA Retreat Down, among others. This confluence across candlestick, Fibonacci, and indicator groups points to strong downward momentum on the 12H timeframe, with a very strong trend score of 96% probability. The bearish alignment is supported by most lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 2H, 4H, 8H) all showing bearish, though choppy/sideways conditions, indicating that the selling pressure is broad but not yet fully directional.

Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 1.65036 and support at 1.62445. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup. The 1D timeframe is only bullish and trend-forming, which introduces a potential conflict, but the 12H signal is currently dominant. Traders should monitor momentum and price action around these levels for confirmation.
Catalysts
  • High confluence of bearish signals across indicator, candlestick, and Fibonacci groups.
  • Broad bearish alignment across most timeframes (15m to 8H).
  • Strong trend score and high probability suggest robust momentum.
  • Proximity to resistance may attract sellers.
Risk Factors
  • The 1D timeframe is bullish and trend-forming, which could counter the bearish 12H signal.
  • Lower timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction and potential for false moves.
  • If price breaks above resistance at 1.65036, the bearish setup is invalidated.
  • Momentum could fade if the Stochastic and Aroon signals lose steam.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 12H
Direction SELL
Probability 77%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-08-11 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.65036 2026-08-03
S1 1.62445 2026-07-28

Tags

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