EUR/AUD – 12H – SELL
SELL
77%
▲ Bullish 23% (4.48)
▼ Bearish 77% (14.64)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/AUD
Full calendar- TomorrowAUDRBA Kent Speech●●○in 9h
- TomorrowEURInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 3.5%Previous 3.2%in 16h
- TomorrowEURHarmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.6%in 16h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) | fibonacci | 1.97 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.90 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▼ | DI CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▼ | AROON Cross Down | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | DM CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▼ | AROON Strong Downtrend | indicator | 1.30 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.97 |
| ▼ | Bearish Separating Lines | candlestick | 0.93 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on the 12H chart with a 96% probability and very strong trend score.
- Multiple indicators confirm the downtrend, including Aroon, DI, DM, and Stochastic crosses.
- Immediate support at 1.62445 is the key level to watch for a breakdown; resistance at 1.65036 is the invalidation point.
- Lower timeframes are mostly bearish but choppy, so momentum may be uneven.
The EUR/AUD 12H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Aroon Cross Down, Aroon Strong Downtrend, Aroon Oscillator Zero Cross Down, Balance of Power Zero Cross Down, Directional Index Cross Down, Directional Movement Cross Down, Stochastic Fast KD Cross Down, and EMA Retreat Down, among others. This confluence across candlestick, Fibonacci, and indicator groups points to strong downward momentum on the 12H timeframe, with a very strong trend score of 96% probability. The bearish alignment is supported by most lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 2H, 4H, 8H) all showing bearish, though choppy/sideways conditions, indicating that the selling pressure is broad but not yet fully directional.
Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 1.65036 and support at 1.62445. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup. The 1D timeframe is only bullish and trend-forming, which introduces a potential conflict, but the 12H signal is currently dominant. Traders should monitor momentum and price action around these levels for confirmation.
Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 1.65036 and support at 1.62445. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup. The 1D timeframe is only bullish and trend-forming, which introduces a potential conflict, but the 12H signal is currently dominant. Traders should monitor momentum and price action around these levels for confirmation.
Catalysts
- ▼ High confluence of bearish signals across indicator, candlestick, and Fibonacci groups.
- ▼ Broad bearish alignment across most timeframes (15m to 8H).
- ▼ Strong trend score and high probability suggest robust momentum.
- ▼ Proximity to resistance may attract sellers.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 1D timeframe is bullish and trend-forming, which could counter the bearish 12H signal.
- ▲ Lower timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction and potential for false moves.
- ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 1.65036, the bearish setup is invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the Stochastic and Aroon signals lose steam.
Symbol
EUR/AUD
Timeframe
12H
Direction
SELL
Probability
77%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-11 12:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.65036 | 2026-08-03 |
| S1 | 1.62445 | 2026-07-28 |
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