EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL
SELL
92%
▲ Bullish 8% (4.66)
▼ Bearish 92% (54.92)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/AUD
Full calendar- TomorrowEURInflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.3%in 11h
- TomorrowEURHarmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.9%Previous -0.2%in 11h
- TomorrowEURHarmonised Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.4%in 11h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 2.40 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.18 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.05 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 2.04 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Cross Up | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.26 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.26 |
| ▼ | Belt Hold Bearish | candlestick | 1.19 |
| ▼ | DX Trend Weak | indicator | 1.08 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.08 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.99 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.99 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 0.99 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 0.95 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 0.82 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests a potential short-term sell-off.
- Broader timeframes are mostly bullish but with weak trend strength, indicating a possible pullback within an uptrend.
- Watch the nearest support at 1.63471; a break below it would confirm bearish momentum.
- Resistance at 1.63704 is the immediate upside barrier; a move above it would invalidate the bearish case.
The EUR/AUD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, CMO Zero Cross Down, DX Trend Weak, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, and ROCR Cross Down, among others. This confluence of momentum, volume, and trend indicators points to a strong short-term bearish reversal attempt. The signal is rated very strong with an 88% probability, suggesting high alignment across multiple technical dimensions.
However, the broader trend context is predominantly bullish across most timeframes, from 15 minutes up to the daily, albeit with weak trend strength (scores of 1/5 or 2/5) and choppy/sideways conditions. Only the 12-hour timeframe shows bearish bias. This creates a conflict: the immediate bearish momentum is fighting against the larger bullish structure. The nearest resistance sits at 1.63704, while support is at 1.63471. A decisive break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a bounce could signal a false breakdown.
However, the broader trend context is predominantly bullish across most timeframes, from 15 minutes up to the daily, albeit with weak trend strength (scores of 1/5 or 2/5) and choppy/sideways conditions. Only the 12-hour timeframe shows bearish bias. This creates a conflict: the immediate bearish momentum is fighting against the larger bullish structure. The nearest resistance sits at 1.63704, while support is at 1.63471. A decisive break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a bounce could signal a false breakdown.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of multiple momentum and trend indicators all pointing down on the 30-minute chart.
- ▼ Trendline Retreat Down and Fibonacci signals add to the bearish case.
- ▼ High probability (88%) and very strong strength rating suggest robust signal alignment.
- ▼ The 12-hour timeframe is bearish, providing some longer-term support for the sell.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (15m to 1d) are bullish, which could limit downside or cause a reversal.
- ▲ Trend strength is weak (1/5) on most timeframes, indicating the bullish trend may be fragile but still present.
- ▲ If price holds above support at 1.63471 and bounces, the bearish signal could fail.
- ▲ A move above resistance at 1.63704 would invalidate the bearish setup.
Symbol
EUR/AUD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
92%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-11 08:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.63704 | 2026-08-10 |
| R2 | 1.63706 | 2026-08-10 |
| R3 | 1.63849 | 2026-08-07 |
| S1 | 1.63471 | 2026-08-11 |
| S2 | 1.63460 | 2026-08-10 |
| S3 | 1.63438 | 2026-08-10 |
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