EUR/AUD – 4H – SELL

2026-08-11 20:00 UTC · 14 hours ago

SELL

94%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Swing

Prognose: 56% historisch

▲ Bullish 6% (1.57) ▼ Bearish 94% (24.58)

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar

00:15TomorrowAUDRBA Kent Speech●●○in 9h
07:00TomorrowEURHarmonised Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 3.8%Previous 3.6%in 16h
07:00TomorrowEURCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 3%Previous 2.9%in 16h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Descending Triangle	chart_pattern	3.06
▼	Triple Top	chart_pattern	2.56
▼	Double Top	chart_pattern	2.53
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.07
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	2.03
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.94
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.91
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	1.80
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	1.58
▲	Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (50%)	fibonacci	1.57
▲	Double Top Retreat Up	chart_pattern	1.54
▲	Triple Top Retreat Up	chart_pattern	1.54
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.20
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	1.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish patterns (Double Top, Triple Top, Descending Triangle) align with a SELL signal on the 4H chart.
Trend is choppy and sideways across most timeframes, with a weak trend score of 1/5, suggesting limited momentum.
Key levels: resistance at 1.64047 and support at 1.63398; a break below support could confirm the downside.
The 1D timeframe shows a bullish trend forming, which may counter the bearish signal.

The EUR/AUD 4H signal is a SELL, driven by a cluster of bearish chart patterns including a Double Top, Triple Top, Descending Triangle, and Trendline Break Down, alongside a strong AROON uptrend that may be losing steam. The confluence of these patterns suggests that sellers have repeatedly defended a resistance zone, and the recent trendline breaks indicate a shift in momentum. However, the signal's strength is weak (59% probability), and the overall trend across timeframes is choppy and sideways, with a 1/5 trend score on most timeframes, which reduces the reliability of the move.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.64047 and support at 1.63398. A break below support could confirm the bearish setup, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. The 1D timeframe shows a bullish trend forming, which poses a risk to the downside move. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and the strength of the AROON indicator to gauge whether the sell signal will play out or fade.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish chart patterns (Double Top, Triple Top, Descending Triangle) provide confluence for a downside move.
▼ Trendline Break Down signals a loss of upside momentum.
▼ Nearest resistance at 1.64047 has been defended, suggesting selling pressure.
▼ AROON Strong Uptrend may be weakening, as indicated by the bearish signals.

Risk Factors

▲ The signal strength is weak (59%) and trend scores are low (1/5) across most timeframes, indicating a lack of conviction.
▲ The 1D timeframe shows a bullish trend forming, which could override the 4H bearish signal.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.64047 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Choppy, sideways price action could lead to false breakouts and whipsaws.