EUR/USD – 1H – BUY
BUY
93%
▲ Bullish 93% (76.34)
▼ Bearish 7% (5.59)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/USD
Full calendar- TodayEURHarmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.9%Previous -0.2%in 3h
- TodayEURHarmonised Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.4%in 3h
- TodayEURInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.8%Previous -0.3%in 3h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.53 |
| ▲ | EMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.02 |
| ▲ | SMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 2.01 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.98 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 1.93 |
| ▲ | MACD Signal Cross Up | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.58 |
| ▲ | MOM Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▲ | ROC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▲ | ROCR Cross Up | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▲ | CMO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▲ | RSI Midline Cross Up | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▲ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.05 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A dense cluster of bullish indicators fired on the 1H, including MACD, RSI, and multiple momentum crossovers.
- The trendline break adds a structural bullish signal, but the 1H itself is still bearish, indicating a potential trend reversal.
- Higher timeframes are mostly bullish, supporting the long bias, but intraday trends are choppy.
- Watch resistance at 1.15652 and support at 1.15172 for confirmation or invalidation.
The EUR/USD 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, including a Trendline Break Down, multiple zero-line crossovers (BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC), and an MACD Signal Cross Up, alongside an RSI Midline Cross Up. This confluence suggests strong buying momentum at the 1H timeframe, with the break of a downtrend line adding a structural bullish layer. The signal's very strong probability (91%) is supported by the alignment of higher timeframes, which are predominantly bullish, though the 1H itself remains bearish and choppy, indicating a potential shift in progress.
Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 1.15652 and support at 1.15172. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a break below support would invalidate the setup. The mixed intraday trends (15m, 30m, 1H) suggest the bullish signal is still forming, but the higher timeframe alignment (2H, 4H, 12H, 1D) lends credibility. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and the strength of the momentum indicators for confirmation.
Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 1.15652 and support at 1.15172. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a break below support would invalidate the setup. The mixed intraday trends (15m, 30m, 1H) suggest the bullish signal is still forming, but the higher timeframe alignment (2H, 4H, 12H, 1D) lends credibility. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and the strength of the momentum indicators for confirmation.
Catalysts
- ▲ Strong confluence of multiple bullish indicators (MACD, RSI, CMO, MOM, ROC, etc.) on the 1H.
- ▲ Trendline break down adds a structural bullish pattern.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 12H, 1D) are bullish and trend forming, aligning with the signal.
- ▲ Very strong signal strength (91% probability) suggests high conviction.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The 1H timeframe is still bearish, which could mean the bullish signal is premature or a false breakout.
- ▼ Intraday trends (15m, 30m) are choppy and weak, indicating lack of momentum.
- ▼ A break below support at 1.15172 would invalidate the bullish setup.
- ▼ Resistance at 1.15652 may cap upside if momentum fades.
Symbol
EUR/USD
Timeframe
1H
Direction
BUY
Probability
93%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-11 15:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.15652 | 2026-08-10 |
| R2 | 1.15804 | 2026-08-07 |
| S1 | 1.15172 | 2026-08-07 |
| S2 | 1.15143 | 2026-08-06 |
| S3 | 1.14999 | 2026-08-03 |
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