EUR/USD 1H BUY

· 13 hours ago
BUY
93%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 93% (76.34) ▼ Bearish 7% (5.59)
EUR/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayEURHarmonised Inflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.9%Previous -0.2%in 3h
  • TodayEURHarmonised Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.4%in 3h
  • TodayEURInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.8%Previous -0.3%in 3h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.53
EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.02
SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.01
Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) fibonacci 1.98
Support Level Retreat Up sr 1.93
MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.63
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.58
MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.54
ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.54
ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.54
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.46
CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.43
RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.43
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.43
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.40
Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.05

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bullish indicators fired on the 1H, including MACD, RSI, and multiple momentum crossovers.
  • The trendline break adds a structural bullish signal, but the 1H itself is still bearish, indicating a potential trend reversal.
  • Higher timeframes are mostly bullish, supporting the long bias, but intraday trends are choppy.
  • Watch resistance at 1.15652 and support at 1.15172 for confirmation or invalidation.
The EUR/USD 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, including a Trendline Break Down, multiple zero-line crossovers (BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC), and an MACD Signal Cross Up, alongside an RSI Midline Cross Up. This confluence suggests strong buying momentum at the 1H timeframe, with the break of a downtrend line adding a structural bullish layer. The signal's very strong probability (91%) is supported by the alignment of higher timeframes, which are predominantly bullish, though the 1H itself remains bearish and choppy, indicating a potential shift in progress.

Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 1.15652 and support at 1.15172. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a break below support would invalidate the setup. The mixed intraday trends (15m, 30m, 1H) suggest the bullish signal is still forming, but the higher timeframe alignment (2H, 4H, 12H, 1D) lends credibility. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and the strength of the momentum indicators for confirmation.
Catalysts
  • Strong confluence of multiple bullish indicators (MACD, RSI, CMO, MOM, ROC, etc.) on the 1H.
  • Trendline break down adds a structural bullish pattern.
  • Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 12H, 1D) are bullish and trend forming, aligning with the signal.
  • Very strong signal strength (91% probability) suggests high conviction.
Risk Factors
  • The 1H timeframe is still bearish, which could mean the bullish signal is premature or a false breakout.
  • Intraday trends (15m, 30m) are choppy and weak, indicating lack of momentum.
  • A break below support at 1.15172 would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • Resistance at 1.15652 may cap upside if momentum fades.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Probability 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-11 15:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.15652 2026-08-10
R2 1.15804 2026-08-07
S1 1.15172 2026-08-07
S2 1.15143 2026-08-06
S3 1.14999 2026-08-03

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