GBP/JPY – 12H – SELL
SELL
76%
▲ Bullish 24% (2.06)
▼ Bearish 76% (6.52)
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Signal evolution
Events for GBP/JPY
Full calendar- TodayGBPRICS House Price Balance (Jul)●●○Forecast -30%Previous -33%in 8h
- TodayJPYPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.4%in 9h
- TodayJPYPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 7.4%Previous 7.1%in 9h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.85 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.61 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 1.30 |
| ▲ | Takuri Line | candlestick | 1.06 |
| ▲ | Dragonfly Doji | candlestick | 0.99 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence on the 12H chart: multiple indicators and candlestick patterns align for a sell.
- Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are in solid downtrends, supporting the bearish bias.
- Watch the resistance at 218.676; a break above could negate the signal.
- The nearest support at 209.565 is a potential target, but watch for a bounce there.
The GBP/JPY 12H chart is flashing a strong bearish signal, with a confluence of indicators and candlestick patterns aligning to suggest downward momentum. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down both indicate selling pressure, while the MA Retreat Down confirms that price is pulling back from a moving average, likely to test lower levels. The Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) suggests that the pair has broken below a key retracement level, opening the door for further declines. The candlestick patterns—Dragonfly Doji, Takuri Line, and Tweezers Top—all point to a potential reversal from recent highs, adding weight to the bearish case.
Across timeframes, the trend is mixed but leans bearish on the higher timeframes. The 12H, 8H, and 1D are all in solid bearish trends (3/5), while the 4H is just starting to form a downtrend (2/5). However, the lower timeframes (15m to 2h) are mostly bullish and choppy, which could cause short-term pullbacks or consolidation before the larger downtrend resumes. The nearest resistance sits at 218.676, and a break above that level would invalidate the bearish setup. On the downside, the nearest support is at 209.565, which is a significant level that could act as a target or a bounce point.
Across timeframes, the trend is mixed but leans bearish on the higher timeframes. The 12H, 8H, and 1D are all in solid bearish trends (3/5), while the 4H is just starting to form a downtrend (2/5). However, the lower timeframes (15m to 2h) are mostly bullish and choppy, which could cause short-term pullbacks or consolidation before the larger downtrend resumes. The nearest resistance sits at 218.676, and a break above that level would invalidate the bearish setup. On the downside, the nearest support is at 209.565, which is a significant level that could act as a target or a bounce point.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple technical signals firing simultaneously (BOP, STOCHRSI, MA, Fibonacci) increase confidence.
- ▼ Candlestick patterns (Dragonfly Doji, Takuri Line, Tweezers Top) suggest a reversal from highs.
- ▼ Higher timeframe trends (8H, 12H, 1D) are solidly bearish, aligning with the signal direction.
- ▼ Fibonacci break down trend (0%) indicates a loss of bullish momentum.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are bullish and choppy, which could lead to short-term counter-trend rallies.
- ▲ The 4H timeframe is only starting to form a downtrend, so momentum may not be fully established.
- ▲ If price breaks above the resistance at 218.676, the bearish signal is invalidated.
- ▲ The support at 209.565 is far away, so the move may not reach that level without a pullback.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
12H
Direction
SELL
Probability
76%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-11 12:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 218.67600 | 2026-07-30 |
| R2 | 219.60500 | 2026-07-15 |
| S1 | 209.56500 | 2026-08-03 |
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