GBP/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY
98%
▲ Bullish 98% (91.15)
▼ Bearish 2% (2.16)
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Signal evolution
Events for GBP/JPY
Full calendar- TodayGBPRICS House Price Balance (Jul)●●○Forecast -30%Previous -33%in 16h
- TodayJPYPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.4%in 17h
- TodayJPYPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 7.4%Previous 7.1%in 17h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 2.73 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.48 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.33 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 2.33 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.30 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.14 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.08 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 2.03 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▲ | APO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.77 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.20 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong short-term bullish signals on the 30-minute chart, with high probability and strength.
- Multiple indicator confirmations (APO, BOP, STOCHF, EMA, KAMA, MA) reinforce the bullish momentum.
- Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, so this may be a counter-trend move.
- Watch key levels: resistance at 215.22100 and support at 214.75400 for direction confirmation.
The GBP/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Retreat Up and confirmed by APO Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, EMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, and MA Retreat Up. These indicators collectively point to strong upward momentum on the short-term timeframe, with a probability score of 97% and very strong strength. The alignment across multiple signal groups—candlestick, support/resistance, trendline, indicator, and Fibonacci—adds confluence to the bullish case.
However, the higher timeframes present a conflicting picture. While the 15-minute through 4-hour charts are bullish (though choppy/sideways), the 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts are bearish with solid trends. This suggests that the current bullish move may be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 215.22100 and support at 214.75400. A break above resistance could signal further upside, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup.
However, the higher timeframes present a conflicting picture. While the 15-minute through 4-hour charts are bullish (though choppy/sideways), the 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts are bearish with solid trends. This suggests that the current bullish move may be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 215.22100 and support at 214.75400. A break above resistance could signal further upside, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of bullish signals across multiple groups (trendline, indicators, candlestick).
- ▲ Trendline Retreat Up and EMA Retreat Up suggest price is respecting upward trendlines.
- ▲ APO and BOP zero cross ups indicate improving momentum and buying pressure.
- ▲ Support at 214.75400 has held, providing a base for the rally.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframe bearish trends (8H, 12H, 1D) could overpower the short-term bullish move.
- ▼ Choppy/sideways price action on lower timeframes may lead to false breakouts.
- ▼ If price breaks below support at 214.75400, the bullish signal is invalidated.
- ▼ Resistance at 215.22100 may cap upside, and a failure to break it could reverse the move.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
98%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-11 20:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 215.22100 | 2026-08-11 |
| R2 | 215.23600 | 2026-08-10 |
| S1 | 214.75400 | 2026-08-11 |
| S2 | 211.45500 | 2026-08-07 |
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