GBP/JPY 4H BUY

· 10 hours ago
BUY
100%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Swing
Prognose: 56% historisch
▲ Bullish 100% (12.60) ▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
GBP/JPY  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayGBPRICS House Price Balance (Jul)●●○Forecast -30%Previous -33%in 16h
  • TodayJPYPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.4%in 17h
  • TodayJPYPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 7.4%Previous 7.1%in 17h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (50%) fibonacci 3.05
MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.60
EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross indicator 1.93
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.63
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.60
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.00
Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 0.99

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on 4H with multiple indicators aligning (Golden Cross, BOP, STOCHF, KAMA/MAMA retreats).
  • Higher timeframes (8H-1D) remain bearish, so this could be a corrective bounce within a downtrend.
  • Watch resistance at 218.676 and support at 211.455 for confirmation or invalidation.
  • Momentum is strong but lower timeframes are choppy; wait for clearer trend direction.
The 4H GBP/JPY signal is strongly bullish, backed by a confluence of indicators: a Golden Cross on the 20/50 EMA, a BOP Zero Cross Up, a STOCHF KD Cross Up, and a retreat up in both KAMA and MAMA/PRICE, all aligning with a 50% Fibonacci retracement bounce and a Spinning Top bullish candlestick. This cluster suggests a momentum shift and potential trend reversal from the recent bearish phase. However, the bullish momentum is currently confined to lower timeframes (15m to 4H), where trends are forming but still choppy, while higher timeframes (8H to 1D) remain in solid downtrends. This divergence implies that the current bullish move may be a corrective rally within a larger bearish structure, rather than a full trend reversal.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 218.676 and support at 211.455. A sustained break above resistance would signal strengthening bullish momentum and could attract further buying, potentially aligning higher timeframes. Conversely, a drop below the nearest support would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the broader downtrend. Traders should monitor price action near these levels for confirmation or rejection.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of bullish signals: Golden Cross, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and retreats in KAMA/MAMA.
  • Fibonacci 50% retracement bounce suggests buyers stepping in at a key level.
  • Spinning Top candlestick indicates indecision but often precedes bullish reversal after a downtrend.
  • Trend scores on 4H show trend forming (2/5), indicating potential shift from bearish to bullish.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are in solid downtrends, which could overpower the 4H bullish signal.
  • Lower timeframes are choppy, indicating weak momentum and possible false signals.
  • Nearest resistance at 218.676 could cap upside; failure to break may lead to reversal.
  • If price falls below nearest support at 211.455, the bullish setup is invalidated.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-11 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 218.67600 2026-07-30
R2 219.60500 2026-07-15
S1 211.45500 2026-08-07
S2 209.56500 2026-08-03

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