GBP/JPY – 4H – BUY
BUY
100%
▲ Bullish 100% (12.60)
▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
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Signal evolution
Events for GBP/JPY
Full calendar- TodayGBPRICS House Price Balance (Jul)●●○Forecast -30%Previous -33%in 16h
- TodayJPYPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.6%Previous 0.4%in 17h
- TodayJPYPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 7.4%Previous 7.1%in 17h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (50%) | fibonacci | 3.05 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.60 |
| ▲ | EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.00 |
| ▲ | Spinning Top Bullish | candlestick | 0.99 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish signal on 4H with multiple indicators aligning (Golden Cross, BOP, STOCHF, KAMA/MAMA retreats).
- Higher timeframes (8H-1D) remain bearish, so this could be a corrective bounce within a downtrend.
- Watch resistance at 218.676 and support at 211.455 for confirmation or invalidation.
- Momentum is strong but lower timeframes are choppy; wait for clearer trend direction.
The 4H GBP/JPY signal is strongly bullish, backed by a confluence of indicators: a Golden Cross on the 20/50 EMA, a BOP Zero Cross Up, a STOCHF KD Cross Up, and a retreat up in both KAMA and MAMA/PRICE, all aligning with a 50% Fibonacci retracement bounce and a Spinning Top bullish candlestick. This cluster suggests a momentum shift and potential trend reversal from the recent bearish phase. However, the bullish momentum is currently confined to lower timeframes (15m to 4H), where trends are forming but still choppy, while higher timeframes (8H to 1D) remain in solid downtrends. This divergence implies that the current bullish move may be a corrective rally within a larger bearish structure, rather than a full trend reversal.
Key levels to watch are resistance at 218.676 and support at 211.455. A sustained break above resistance would signal strengthening bullish momentum and could attract further buying, potentially aligning higher timeframes. Conversely, a drop below the nearest support would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the broader downtrend. Traders should monitor price action near these levels for confirmation or rejection.
Key levels to watch are resistance at 218.676 and support at 211.455. A sustained break above resistance would signal strengthening bullish momentum and could attract further buying, potentially aligning higher timeframes. Conversely, a drop below the nearest support would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the broader downtrend. Traders should monitor price action near these levels for confirmation or rejection.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of bullish signals: Golden Cross, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and retreats in KAMA/MAMA.
- ▲ Fibonacci 50% retracement bounce suggests buyers stepping in at a key level.
- ▲ Spinning Top candlestick indicates indecision but often precedes bullish reversal after a downtrend.
- ▲ Trend scores on 4H show trend forming (2/5), indicating potential shift from bearish to bullish.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are in solid downtrends, which could overpower the 4H bullish signal.
- ▼ Lower timeframes are choppy, indicating weak momentum and possible false signals.
- ▼ Nearest resistance at 218.676 could cap upside; failure to break may lead to reversal.
- ▼ If price falls below nearest support at 211.455, the bullish setup is invalidated.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
4H
Direction
BUY
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-11 16:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 218.67600 | 2026-07-30 |
| R2 | 219.60500 | 2026-07-15 |
| S1 | 211.45500 | 2026-08-07 |
| S2 | 209.56500 | 2026-08-03 |
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